J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Japan National Stadium, Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Yokohama F. Marinos 55%, draw 25%, Tokyo Verdy 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Yokohama F. Marinos €559K, Tokyo Verdy €366K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (J1 League): Yokohama F. Marinos rank #22 of 23, Tokyo Verdy #3.
- Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Yokohama F. Marinos goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Yokohama F. Marinos 1729 · Tokyo Verdy 1556
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Yokohama F. Marinos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1889
Tokyo Verdy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1577
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Yokohama F. Marinos
8th in J1 League · 16 pts from 10
- 17 OctDJEF United Chiba J1 League1709
- 10 OctDCerezo Osaka J1 League1704
- 19 SepWMito Hollyhock J1 League1690
- 12 SepDMachida Zelvia J1 League1733
- 6 SepWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1657
Tokyo Verdy
20th in J1 League · 4 pts from 10
- 17 OctLFC Tokyo J1 League1556
- 11 OctLSanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League1566
- 19 SepLUrawa J1 League1598
- 13 SepDJEF United Chiba J1 League1600
- 6 SepDCerezo Osaka J1 League1569
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 16 /10 | 56.0 | <1% | 6% | <1% | 8th |
| Tokyo Verdy | 4 /10 | 32.5 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Yokohama F. Marinos: balanced profile (how Stephen Christopher Corica plays) · Tokyo Verdy: balanced profile (how Naoki Soma plays)