J1 League · Regular Season - 14
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Yokohama F. Marinos host Fagiano Okayama on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Yokohama F. Marinos 44%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Yokohama F. Marinos €606K, Fagiano Okayama €487K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (J1 League): Yokohama F. Marinos rank #4 of 23, Fagiano Okayama #21.
- Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Yokohama F. Marinos goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Yokohama F. Marinos 1732 · Fagiano Okayama 1694
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Yokohama F. Marinos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1885
Fagiano Okayama · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1793
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Yokohama F. Marinos
9th in J1 League · 17 pts from 11
- 21 OctDTokyo Verdy J1 League1697
- 17 OctDJEF United Chiba J1 League1709
- 10 OctDCerezo Osaka J1 League1704
- 19 SepWMito Hollyhock J1 League1690
- 12 SepDMachida Zelvia J1 League1733
Fagiano Okayama
10th in J1 League · 16 pts from 11
- 21 OctWMito Hollyhock J1 League1685
- 18 OctLVissel Kobe J1 League1703
- 10 OctLAvispa Fukuoka J1 League1696
- 19 SepLKyoto Sanga J1 League1738
- 13 SepWUrawa J1 League1686
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 17 /11 | 54.6 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 8th |
| Fagiano Okayama | 16 /11 | 50.1 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Yokohama F. Marinos: balanced profile (how S. Corica plays) · Fagiano Okayama: direct (how Takashi Kiyama plays)