J1 League · Regular Season - 13
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Vissel Kobe host Nagoya Grampus on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vissel Kobe 53%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vissel Kobe €870K, Nagoya Grampus €508K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (J1 League): Vissel Kobe rank #3 of 23, Nagoya Grampus #20.
- All 11 of Vissel Kobe's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- All 11 of Nagoya Grampus' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vissel Kobe goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vissel Kobe 1843 · Nagoya Grampus 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vissel Kobe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1897
Nagoya Grampus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1782
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vissel Kobe
4th in J1 League · 22 pts from 10
- 18 OctWFagiano Okayama J1 League1863
- 14 OctWJeonbuk Motors AFC Champions League1852
- 9 OctLKashiwa Reysol J1 League1859
- 20 SepWGamba Osaka J1 League1849
- 16 SepWPort FC AFC Champions League1824
Nagoya Grampus
12th in J1 League · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1643
- 11 OctWKawasaki Frontale J1 League1628
- 19 SepLFC Tokyo J1 League1676
- 12 SepLV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1670
- 6 SepLMachida Zelvia J1 League1633
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 22 /10 | 69.1 | 15% | 66% | 0% | 3rd |
| Nagoya Grampus | 12 /10 | 50.0 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vissel Kobe: high-pressing (how Michael Heinz Skibbe plays) · Nagoya Grampus: balanced profile (how Mihailo Petrovic plays)