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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Villarreal 3–1 Napoli

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Villarreal crestVillarrealTeam 2158
3–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Napoli crestNapoliTeam 2252

Match story

Villarreal · draw · Napoli

Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%

Live chances: Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 30%, Napoli 34%2' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 30%, Napoli 34%3' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 30%, Napoli 34%4' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 30%, Napoli 34%5' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 31%, Napoli 33%6' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 31%, Napoli 33%7' · 0–0 · Villarreal 36%, draw 31%, Napoli 33%8' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 24%, Napoli 57%9' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 25%, Napoli 57%10' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 25%, Napoli 57%11' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 25%, Napoli 57%12' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%13' · 0–1 · Villarreal 18%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%14' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%15' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%16' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%17' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%18' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 58%19' · 0–1 · Villarreal 17%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%20' · 0–1 · Villarreal 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%21' · 0–1 · Villarreal 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%22' · 0–1 · Villarreal 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%23' · 1–1 · Villarreal 34%, draw 34%, Napoli 32%24' · 1–1 · Villarreal 34%, draw 34%, Napoli 32%25' · 1–1 · Villarreal 34%, draw 34%, Napoli 32%26' · 1–1 · Villarreal 34%, draw 34%, Napoli 32%27' · 2–1 · Villarreal 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 11%28' · 2–1 · Villarreal 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 11%29' · 2–1 · Villarreal 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 11%30' · 2–1 · Villarreal 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%31' · 2–1 · Villarreal 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%32' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%33' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%34' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%35' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%36' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 10%37' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%38' · 2–1 · Villarreal 68%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%39' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%40' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%41' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%42' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%43' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 9%44' · 2–1 · Villarreal 69%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%45' · 2–1 · Villarreal 70%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%45+1' · 2–1 · Villarreal 70%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%45+2' · 2–1 · Villarreal 70%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%HT · 2–1 · Villarreal 70%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%46' · 2–1 · Villarreal 70%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%47' · 2–1 · Villarreal 71%, draw 22%, Napoli 8%48' · 2–1 · Villarreal 71%, draw 22%, Napoli 7%49' · 2–1 · Villarreal 71%, draw 22%, Napoli 7%50' · 2–1 · Villarreal 71%, draw 22%, Napoli 7%51' · 2–1 · Villarreal 72%, draw 22%, Napoli 7%52' · 2–1 · Villarreal 72%, draw 21%, Napoli 7%53' · 2–1 · Villarreal 72%, draw 21%, Napoli 6%54' · 2–1 · Villarreal 72%, draw 21%, Napoli 6%55' · 2–1 · Villarreal 73%, draw 21%, Napoli 6%56' · 2–1 · Villarreal 73%, draw 21%, Napoli 6%57' · 2–1 · Villarreal 74%, draw 21%, Napoli 6%58' · 2–1 · Villarreal 74%, draw 21%, Napoli 5%59' · 2–1 · Villarreal 74%, draw 21%, Napoli 5%60' · 2–1 · Villarreal 75%, draw 20%, Napoli 5%61' · 2–1 · Villarreal 75%, draw 20%, Napoli 5%62' · 2–1 · Villarreal 75%, draw 20%, Napoli 5%63' · 2–1 · Villarreal 76%, draw 20%, Napoli 5%65' · 2–1 · Villarreal 76%, draw 19%, Napoli 4%66' · 2–1 · Villarreal 77%, draw 19%, Napoli 4%67' · 2–1 · Villarreal 77%, draw 19%, Napoli 4%69' · 2–1 · Villarreal 78%, draw 18%, Napoli 3%70' · 2–1 · Villarreal 79%, draw 18%, Napoli 3%71' · 2–1 · Villarreal 79%, draw 18%, Napoli 3%73' · 2–1 · Villarreal 80%, draw 17%, Napoli 3%74' · 2–1 · Villarreal 80%, draw 17%, Napoli 3%75' · 2–1 · Villarreal 81%, draw 17%, Napoli 2%76' · 2–1 · Villarreal 82%, draw 16%, Napoli 2%77' · 2–1 · Villarreal 82%, draw 16%, Napoli 2%78' · 2–1 · Villarreal 83%, draw 15%, Napoli 2%79' · 2–1 · Villarreal 83%, draw 15%, Napoli 2%80' · 2–1 · Villarreal 84%, draw 14%, Napoli 2%81' · 2–1 · Villarreal 85%, draw 14%, Napoli 1%82' · 2–1 · Villarreal 85%, draw 13%, Napoli 1%83' · 2–1 · Villarreal 86%, draw 13%, Napoli 1%84' · 2–1 · Villarreal 87%, draw 12%, Napoli 1%85' · 2–1 · Villarreal 88%, draw 11%, Napoli 1%86' · 2–1 · Villarreal 88%, draw 11%, Napoli 1%87' · 3–1 · Villarreal 99%, draw 1%, Napoli 0%88' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%89' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%90' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Villarreal 100%, draw 0%, Napoli 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Villarreal 36% to win: they did.

  1. 8'Napoli:Amir Rrahmani 2270 −22
  2. 23'Villarreal:Georges Mikautadze 2232 +33
  3. 26'Villarreal:Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González 2242 +40* assist Gerard Moreno 2076 +46
  4. 33'Villarreal:Georges Mikautadze 2232 +33
  5. 55'Napoli:Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 0
  6. 60'Napoli:Noa Lang 2271 −2 for Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 0
  7. 60'Napoli:Leonardo Spinazzola 2188 −5 for Scott McTominay 2265 −6
  8. 61'Napoli:David Neres 2304 −4 for Matteo Politano 2156 −5
  9. 62'Napoli:Kevin De Bruyne 2264 −14
  10. 63'Villarreal:Tani Oluwaseyi 2068 +14* for Gerard Moreno 2076 +46
  11. 63'Villarreal:Alex Freeman 2128 +7 for Georges Mikautadze 2232 +33
  12. 67'Villarreal:Nathan-Dylan Saliba 2040 +30
  13. 68'Villarreal:Juan Foyth 2209 +3 for Alberto Moleiro 2214 +14
  14. 72'Napoli:Stanislav Lobotka 2275 −5 for Billy Gilmour 2313 −8
  15. 72'Napoli:Lorenzo Lucca 2026 0 for Rafael Marin Zamora 2263 −4
  16. 83'Villarreal:Ayoze Pérez 2109 −1 for Santi Comesaña 2208 +47
  17. 84'Villarreal:Sergi Cardona Bermúdez 2235 +1 for Pape Gueye 2210 +16
  18. 85'Napoli:Giovanni Di Lorenzo 2229 −7
  19. 86'Villarreal:Tani Oluwaseyi 2068 +14* assist Ayoze Pérez 2109 −1

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-2-1
GV. Milinković-Savić2231−2
DAmir Rrahmani2270−22
DRafa Marín2263−4
DB. Badiashile2406−18
MM. Politano2156−5
MB. Gilmour2313−8
MS. McTominay2265−6
MG. Di Lorenzo2229−7
MGiovane18210
MK. De Bruyne2264−14
FR. Højlund2313−10
CM. Allegri2248−7
Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%(Villarreal · draw · Napoli)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Villarreal €15.4M, Napoli €17.3M.
  • Villarreal were without 1 expected starter: T. Buchanan (2163).
  • Napoli were without 1 expected starter: M. Olivera (2250).
  • Home advantage made Villarreal the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Draw chance was 29%, above the UEFA Champions League average of 23% this round.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Villarreal

11th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLReal Madrid 2193
  • 20 SepWLevante 2151
  • 17 SepWMalaga 2131
  • 14 SepLReal Betis 2150
  • 8 SepLBorussia Dortmund 2156

Napoli

8th in Serie A · 10 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWFrosinone 2274
  • 20 SepDFiorentina 2253
  • 13 SepWBologna 2188
  • 9 SepLArsenal 2210
  • 5 SepLInter 2162

League phase outlook

From the Champions League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Villarreal0 /19.54.354.840.9
Napoli0 /110.88.566.924.6

Full league phase and chances: Champions League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Renato Veiga
Renato Veiga

Villarreal · +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2291

V. Milinković-Savić
V. Milinković-Savić

Napoli · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2233

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Iñigo Pérez Soto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Massimiliano Allegri

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Villarreal: balanced profile (how Iñigo Pérez Soto plays) · Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.