UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Viking vs Sabah FA
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Viking host Sabah FA on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Viking 57%, draw 24%, Sabah FA 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Viking €2.3M, Sabah FA €973K.
- Viking are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Viking goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Viking 1917 · Sabah FA 1766
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Sabah FA from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.5 (Elite) · Elo 1986
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1883
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Viking
2nd in Eliteserien · 56 pts from 23
- 17 OctWFredrikstad Eliteserien1866
- 13 OctDBayern München UEFA Champions League1949
- 9 OctWBrann Eliteserien1941
- 20 SepWLillestrom Eliteserien1929
- 13 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1911
Sabah FA
1st in Premyer Liqa · 19 pts from 7
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1785
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1779
- 25 AugWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1787
- 19 AugLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1818
- 11 AugWAarhus UEFA Champions League1760
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 1 /2 | 6.4 | 0.1 | 17.1 | 82.8 |
| Sabah FA | 3 /2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 92.6 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile