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Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Venezia 1–0 Napoli

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice

Venezia crestVeneziaTeam 1866
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Napoli crestNapoliTeam 2209

Match story

Venezia · draw · Napoli

Before kick-off: 15% · 23% · 61%

Live chances: Venezia 95%, draw 5%, Napoli 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 61%3' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 61%4' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 61%5' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 61%6' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 61%7' · 0–0 · Venezia 15%, draw 24%, Napoli 60%8' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 24%, Napoli 60%9' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 24%, Napoli 60%10' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 60%11' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 60%12' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%13' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%14' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 25%, Napoli 59%15' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 59%16' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 58%17' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 58%18' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 58%19' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 58%20' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 26%, Napoli 57%21' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 27%, Napoli 57%23' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 27%, Napoli 57%24' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 27%, Napoli 56%25' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 27%, Napoli 56%26' · 0–0 · Venezia 16%, draw 28%, Napoli 56%27' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 28%, Napoli 56%28' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 28%, Napoli 55%29' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 28%, Napoli 55%30' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 29%, Napoli 55%31' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 29%, Napoli 55%32' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 29%, Napoli 54%33' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 29%, Napoli 54%34' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 30%, Napoli 54%35' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 30%, Napoli 53%36' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 30%, Napoli 53%37' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 30%, Napoli 53%38' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 31%, Napoli 52%39' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 31%, Napoli 52%40' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 31%, Napoli 52%41' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 32%, Napoli 51%42' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 32%, Napoli 51%43' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 32%, Napoli 51%44' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 33%, Napoli 50%45' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 33%, Napoli 50%45+1' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 33%, Napoli 50%45+2' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 34%, Napoli 49%45+3' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 34%, Napoli 49%HT · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 34%, Napoli 49%46' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 34%, Napoli 48%47' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 35%, Napoli 48%48' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 35%, Napoli 48%49' · 0–0 · Venezia 17%, draw 36%, Napoli 47%50' · 1–0 · Venezia 51%, draw 30%, Napoli 19%51' · 1–0 · Venezia 51%, draw 30%, Napoli 19%52' · 1–0 · Venezia 52%, draw 30%, Napoli 18%53' · 1–0 · Venezia 52%, draw 30%, Napoli 18%54' · 1–0 · Venezia 53%, draw 30%, Napoli 17%55' · 1–0 · Venezia 54%, draw 30%, Napoli 17%56' · 1–0 · Venezia 54%, draw 30%, Napoli 16%57' · 1–0 · Venezia 55%, draw 30%, Napoli 15%58' · 1–0 · Venezia 56%, draw 30%, Napoli 15%59' · 1–0 · Venezia 56%, draw 29%, Napoli 14%60' · 1–0 · Venezia 57%, draw 29%, Napoli 14%61' · 1–0 · Venezia 57%, draw 29%, Napoli 13%62' · 1–0 · Venezia 58%, draw 29%, Napoli 13%63' · 1–0 · Venezia 59%, draw 29%, Napoli 12%64' · 1–0 · Venezia 59%, draw 29%, Napoli 12%65' · 1–0 · Venezia 60%, draw 28%, Napoli 11%66' · 1–0 · Venezia 61%, draw 28%, Napoli 11%67' · 1–0 · Venezia 62%, draw 28%, Napoli 10%68' · 1–0 · Venezia 62%, draw 28%, Napoli 10%69' · 1–0 · Venezia 63%, draw 27%, Napoli 9%70' · 1–0 · Venezia 64%, draw 27%, Napoli 9%71' · 1–0 · Venezia 65%, draw 27%, Napoli 8%72' · 1–0 · Venezia 66%, draw 26%, Napoli 8%73' · 1–0 · Venezia 67%, draw 26%, Napoli 8%74' · 1–0 · Venezia 67%, draw 26%, Napoli 7%75' · 1–0 · Venezia 68%, draw 25%, Napoli 7%76' · 1–0 · Venezia 69%, draw 25%, Napoli 6%77' · 1–0 · Venezia 70%, draw 24%, Napoli 6%78' · 1–0 · Venezia 71%, draw 23%, Napoli 5%79' · 1–0 · Venezia 72%, draw 23%, Napoli 5%80' · 1–0 · Venezia 74%, draw 22%, Napoli 4%81' · 1–0 · Venezia 75%, draw 21%, Napoli 4%82' · 1–0 · Venezia 76%, draw 21%, Napoli 4%83' · 1–0 · Venezia 77%, draw 20%, Napoli 3%84' · 1–0 · Venezia 78%, draw 19%, Napoli 3%85' · 1–0 · Venezia 80%, draw 18%, Napoli 2%86' · 1–0 · Venezia 81%, draw 17%, Napoli 2%87' · 1–0 · Venezia 82%, draw 16%, Napoli 2%88' · 1–0 · Venezia 84%, draw 15%, Napoli 2%89' · 1–0 · Venezia 85%, draw 14%, Napoli 1%90' · 1–0 · Venezia 87%, draw 12%, Napoli 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Venezia 89%, draw 11%, Napoli 1%90+2' · 1–0 · Venezia 91%, draw 9%, Napoli 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Venezia 93%, draw 7%, Napoli 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Venezia 95%, draw 5%, Napoli 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 95% · 5% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Napoli 61% to win: Venezia won.

  1. 49'Venezia:Akor Adams 2077 +49 assist Simon Sohm 2032 +55
  2. 54'Napoli:Alisson Santos 1760 −8* for Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 0
  3. 54'Napoli:Kevin De Bruyne 2251 −14 for Billy Gilmour 2307 −6
  4. 54'Napoli:Rasmus Hojlund 2310 −4 for Lorenzo Lucca 2026 0
  5. 61'Venezia:Toma Bašić 1997 +16
  6. 63'Venezia:Albion Rrahmani 1974 +7 for John Yeboah 2007 +15
  7. 63'Napoli:Matteo Politano 2151 −5 for Sam Beukema 2260 −21*
  8. 68'Napoli:Kevin De Bruyne 2251 −14 (penalty missed)
  9. 71'Venezia:Thorir Johann Helgason 1722 +10 for Toma Bašić 1997 +16
  10. 71'Venezia:Pasquale Mazzocchi 1766 −1* for Ridgeciano Haps 1749 +24*
  11. 72'Venezia:Joël Schingtienne 1980 +12 for Matias Moreno 2053 +43
  12. 80'Venezia:Enrique Pérez Muñoz 1961 +25
  13. 82'Venezia:Lamine Fanne 1798 −4* for Simon Sohm 2032 +55
  14. 82'Napoli:Mathias Olivera 2241 −9* for Leonardo Spinazzola 2183 −5

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations3-4-2-1
GF. Stanković2026+64
DR. Halhal1894+33
DJuan Jesus2101+34
DM. Moreno2053+43
MA. Hainaut1965+26
MKike Pérez1961+25
MT. Bašić1997+16
MS. Sohm2032+55
MR. Haps1749+24*
FJ. Yeboah2007+15
FA. Adams2077+49
CD. Nicola1975+41*
GA. Meret2286−8
DS. Beukema2260−21*
DAmir Rrahmani2250−20
DB. Badiashile2363−43
MG. Di Lorenzo2221−7
MS. Lobotka2265−10
MB. Gilmour2307−6
ML. Spinazzola2183−5
MGiovane18210
MS. McTominay2249−16
FL. Lucca20260
CM. Allegri2240−8
Before kick-off: 15% · 23% · 61%(Venezia · draw · Napoli)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 1–0 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Venezia €4.5M, Napoli €14.0M.
  • Venezia were without 1 expected starter: G. Busio (1981).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 7: 289 points.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Venezia

20th in Serie A · 0 pts from 6

  • 12 OctLAtalanta 1981
  • 19 SepLLazio 1970
  • 11 SepLFiorentina 1964
  • 6 SepLFrosinone 1956
  • 2 SepLUdinese 1822

Napoli

9th in Serie A · 10 pts from 6

  • 13 OctLVillarreal 2236
  • 10 OctWFrosinone 2274
  • 20 SepDFiorentina 2253
  • 13 SepWBologna 2188
  • 9 SepLArsenal 2210

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Venezia0 /630.90%0%72%20th
Napoli10 /664.62%33%0%6th
Venezia
Napoli

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Yeboah
J. Yeboah

Venezia · +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1992

Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani

Napoli · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2270

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Giovanni Stroppa

Coach DNA: possession-based

Massimiliano Allegri

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Venezia: balanced profile (how Giovanni Stroppa plays) · Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.