Serie A · Regular Season - 9
Venezia vs Inter
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Venezia host Inter on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Venezia 11%, draw 19%, Inter 70%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Venezia €3.9M, Inter €38.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 9: 442 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Serie A average of 25% this round.
- Serie A: A. Bastoni is the highest-rated defender (2552).
- Inter's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Venezia goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–39%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–2expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 5.0 pts
Team Elo: Venezia 1964 · Inter 2406
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Venezia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2026
Inter · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Venezia
20th in Serie A · 3 pts from 7
- 17 OctWNapoli Serie A1953
- 12 OctLAtalanta Serie A1981
- 19 SepLLazio Serie A1970
- 11 SepLFiorentina Serie A1964
- 6 SepLFrosinone Serie A1956
Inter
1st in Serie A · 19 pts from 7
- 17 OctWBologna Serie A2426
- 13 OctLClub Brugge KV UEFA Champions League2419
- 10 OctWParma Serie A2342
- 19 SepDAS Roma Serie A2417
- 14 SepWUdinese Serie A2339
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 3 /7 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 20th |
| Inter | 19 /7 | 83.5 | 75% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Venezia: balanced profile (how Davide Nicola plays) · Inter: possession-based · creative (how Cristian Eugen Chivu plays)