Serie A · Regular Season - 13
Venezia vs Bologna
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Venezia host Bologna on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Venezia 22%, draw 26%, Bologna 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Venezia €4.6M, Bologna €10.7M.
- All 11 of Bologna's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Venezia goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Venezia 1953 · Bologna 2166
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Venezia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 2004
Bologna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.2 (Good) · Elo 2232
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Venezia
19th in Serie A · 6 pts from 11
- 6 NovWUdinese Serie A1960
- 1 NovLComo Serie A1922
- 28 OctLInter Serie A1926
- 25 OctLGenoa Serie A1986
- 17 OctWNapoli Serie A1946
Bologna
8th in Serie A · 17 pts from 11
- 7 NovWParma Serie A2159
- 31 OctWMonza Serie A2168
- 28 OctWAC Milan Serie A2061
- 24 OctWCagliari Serie A2092
- 17 OctLInter Serie A2090
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 6 /11 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 18th |
| Bologna | 17 /11 | 57.2 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Venezia: balanced profile (how Davide Nicola plays) · Bologna: balanced profile (how Domenico Tedesco plays)