Primera División · Clausura - 17
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca host Club Deportivo Los Chankas on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: UTC Cajamarca 31%, draw 29%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: UTC Cajamarca €222K, Club Deportivo Los Chankas €250K.
- UTC Cajamarca's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Club Deportivo Los Chankas' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. UTC Cajamarca goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: UTC Cajamarca 1448 · Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1519
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
UTC Cajamarca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1477
Club Deportivo Los Chankas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1616
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
UTC Cajamarca
18th in Primera División · 18 pts from 31
- 28 OctWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1396
- 23 OctLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1439
- 18 OctLCienciano Peru Primera Division1396
- 11 OctLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1384
- 20 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1390
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
9th in Primera División · 46 pts from 31
- 29 OctLCusco Peru Primera Division1559
- 25 OctLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1560
- 16 OctWADT Peru Primera Division1521
- 8 OctDAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1524
- 30 SepDCienciano Peru Primera Division1532
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 18 /31 | 21.1 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 18th |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 46 /31 | 49.9 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
UTC Cajamarca: balanced profile (how Cristián Molins plays) · Club Deportivo Los Chankas: balanced profile (how J. Balazar plays)