🇵🇪 Primera División
Peru · 534 rated players
Avg Top 200: 1389
Median: 1235
Mean: 1239
Top 25 Players
Coaches
Rest-of-Season Simulation
5,000Monte-Carlo runs of our v6 player-Elo model · 2026 season
| # | Club | Team Elo | Pld | Title % | Pred Pts | Cur Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 1435.0 | 17 | 82.3 | 70.2 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1341.0 | 17 | 5.5 | 59.4 | 34 |
| 3 | Universitario | 1453.0 | 17 | 5.9 | 59.4 | 29 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 1347.0 | 17 | 4.5 | 58.6 | 33 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 1374.0 | 17 | 1.1 | 55.0 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 1320.0 | 17 | 0.4 | 51.6 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1312.0 | 17 | 0.2 | 49.9 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 1332.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 44.3 | 19 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 1309.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 20 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 1265.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 42.8 | 21 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1237.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 21 |
| 12 | ADT | 1260.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 20 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 1252.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 39.2 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 1270.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 38.7 | 17 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 1205.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 36.5 | 18 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 1234.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 1197.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 34.4 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 1149.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 32.3 | 16 |
Finishing-position probabilities
Each row sums to ~100%. Columns are final league positions (1 = champion).
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima | 82 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 8 | ||||||||||||
| Universitario | 6 | 28 | 24 | 19 | 12 | 6 | ||||||||||||
| Cienciano | 23 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 8 | |||||||||||||
| FBC Melgar | 9 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 5 | |||||||||||
| Cusco | 6 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 7 | |||||||||||
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 6 | |||||||||||
| Sporting Cristal | 6 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 7 | ||||||||||
| Sport Boys | 9 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||
| Alianza Atletico | 8 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | |||||||||
| Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | |||||||||
| ADT | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | |||||||||
| UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | |||||||||
| FC Cajamarca | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | |||||||||
| UCV Moquegua | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 11 | ||||||||||
| Atletico Grau | 6 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | ||||||||||
| Sport Huancayo | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 22 | |||||||||||
| Juan Pablo II College | 7 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 40 |