Primera División · Clausura - 14
Universitario vs Sport Boys
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario host Sport Boys on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universitario 49%, draw 27%, Sport Boys 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universitario €699K, Sport Boys €300K.
- Primera División: A. Valera is the highest-rated forward (1842).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Universitario rank #1 of 18, Sport Boys #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universitario goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Universitario 1721 · Sport Boys 1601
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universitario · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1789
Sport Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1652
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universitario
2nd in Primera División · 53 pts from 29
- 18 OctWAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1684
- 11 OctDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1695
- 19 SepLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1759
- 13 SepWAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1739
- 6 SepDComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1743
Sport Boys
11th in Primera División · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1619
- 11 OctLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1627
- 20 SepDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1639
- 13 SepWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1613
- 5 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1632
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | 53 /29 | 62.2 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Sport Boys | 38 /29 | 45.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universitario: creative (how Fabián Daniel Bustos plays) · Sport Boys: balanced profile (how Carlos Alberto Desio plays)