Primera División · Clausura - 13
Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario host Juan Pablo II College on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universitario 49%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II College 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universitario €699K, Juan Pablo II College €310K.
- Primera División: A. Valera is the highest-rated forward (1842).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Universitario rank #1 of 18, Juan Pablo II College #15.
- Juan Pablo II College are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universitario goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Universitario 1721 · Juan Pablo II College 1596
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universitario · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1789
Juan Pablo II College · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1821
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universitario
2nd in Primera División · 53 pts from 29
- 18 OctWAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1684
- 11 OctDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1695
- 19 SepLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1759
- 13 SepWAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1739
- 6 SepDComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1743
Juan Pablo II College
12th in Primera División · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1554
- 10 OctDComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1540
- 20 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1554
- 11 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1532
- 6 SepDAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1532
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | 53 /29 | 62.2 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Juan Pablo II College | 38 /29 | 44.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universitario: creative (how Fabián Daniel Bustos plays) · Juan Pablo II College: balanced profile (how Jorge Martín Araujo Paredes plays)