NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Den Dreef Stadium, Heverley

Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. GilloiseTeam 2044
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadTeam 2133

Match story

Union St. Gilloise · draw · Real Sociedad

Before kick-off: 38% · 28% · 34%

Live chances: Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 93%, Real Sociedad 4% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%2' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%3' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%4' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%5' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%6' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%7' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%8' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%9' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%10' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%11' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%12' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%13' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 34%14' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 34%15' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 34%16' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 33%17' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 33%18' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 33%19' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 33%20' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 33%21' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 33%22' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 33%23' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 33%24' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 33%25' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 33%26' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 33%27' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 33%28' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 32%29' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad 32%30' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad 32%31' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad 32%32' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad 32%33' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 32%34' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 32%35' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 32%36' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 32%37' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 35%, Real Sociedad 31%38' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 35%, Real Sociedad 31%39' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 35%, Real Sociedad 31%40' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 36%, Real Sociedad 31%41' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 36%, Real Sociedad 31%42' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 36%, Real Sociedad 31%43' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 37%, Real Sociedad 31%44' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 37%, Real Sociedad 30%45' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 37%, Real Sociedad 30%45+1' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 32%, draw 38%, Real Sociedad 30%HT · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 32%, draw 39%, Real Sociedad 30%47' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 12%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 63%48' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 12%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 64%49' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 11%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 64%50' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 11%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 64%51' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 11%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 65%52' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 10%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 65%53' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 10%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 65%54' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 10%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 66%55' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 10%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 66%56' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 67%57' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 67%58' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 67%59' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 8%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 68%60' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 8%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 68%61' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 8%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 69%62' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 7%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 69%63' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 7%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 70%64' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 7%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 70%65' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 7%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 71%66' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 6%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 71%67' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 6%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 72%68' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 6%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 72%69' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 5%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 73%70' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 5%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 73%71' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 5%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 74%72' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 5%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 74%73' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 75%74' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 76%75' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 76%76' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad 77%77' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 3%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad 78%78' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 3%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad 78%79' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 3%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad 79%80' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 3%, draw 17%, Real Sociedad 80%81' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 2%, draw 17%, Real Sociedad 81%82' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 2%, draw 16%, Real Sociedad 82%83' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 2%, draw 16%, Real Sociedad 83%84' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 2%, draw 15%, Real Sociedad 83%85' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 1%, draw 14%, Real Sociedad 84%86' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 1%, draw 13%, Real Sociedad 85%87' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 1%, draw 13%, Real Sociedad 86%88' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 1%, draw 12%, Real Sociedad 88%89' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 10%, draw 81%, Real Sociedad 9%90' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 83%, Real Sociedad 8%90+1' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 8%, draw 85%, Real Sociedad 7%90+2' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 6%, draw 88%, Real Sociedad 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 5%, draw 90%, Real Sociedad 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 4%, draw 93%, Real Sociedad 4%

Last reading, 90+4': 4% · 93% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Union St. Gilloise 38% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 39'Union St. Gilloise:David Hubert
  2. 45'Real Sociedad:Benat Turrientes 2183 −8* for Yangel Herrera 2030 −1
  3. 46'Real Sociedad:Benat Turrientes 2183 −8*
  4. 58'Union St. Gilloise:Nohim Chibani 1147 +5
  5. 64'Union St. Gilloise:Denzel De Roeve 1858 +1 for Nohim Chibani 1147 +5
  6. 68'Real Sociedad:Takefusa Kubo 2090 −8* for Luka Sučić 2228 0
  7. 71'Union St. Gilloise:Dylan Aquino 1765 +1 for Darius Olaru 1821 +1
  8. 74'Real Sociedad:Mamadou Sarr 2221 0
  9. 79'Real Sociedad:Pablo Marin 1921 0 for Job Ochieng 1870 0
  10. 79'Real Sociedad:Ander Barrenetxea 2182 0 for Gonçalo Guedes 2248 −2
  11. 84'Union St. Gilloise:Sekou Abrahame Keita 1777 −7* for Mateo Biondic 2147 +1
  12. 88'Union St. Gilloise:Sekou Abrahame Keita 1777 −7*
  13. 90+2'Real Sociedad:Orri Steinn Óskarsson 2065 0 for Mikel Oyarzabal 2426 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-1-4-2Formations4-4-2
GUnai Marrero1873−8*
DZubeldia2145−2
DM. Sarr22210
DJon Martín22190
DSergio Gómez22480
MJ. Ochieng18700
MJon Gorrotxategi2183−8*
MY. Herrera2030−1
MGonçalo Guedes2248−2
FMikel Oyarzabal2426−2
FL. Sučić22280
CP. Matarazzo22560
Before kick-off: 38% · 28% · 34%(Union St. Gilloise · draw · Real Sociedad)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Union St. Gilloise €4.1M, Real Sociedad €12.0M.
  • Union St. Gilloise were without 2 expected starters: O. Kričfaluši (2025) and A. Zorgane (2315).
  • Real Sociedad were without 1 expected starter: J. Aramburu (2269).
  • Home advantage made Union St. Gilloise the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Union St. Gilloise's expected eleven was in form: average +2.3 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Union St. Gilloise

4th in Pro League · 20 pts from 8

  • 11 OctDOH Leuven 2001
  • 20 SepWAntwerp 2088
  • 17 SepWPlzen 1978
  • 12 SepWLommel United 2086
  • 5 SepWCharleroi 2080

Real Sociedad

6th in La Liga · 13 pts from 8

  • 11 OctWDeportivo La Coruna 2156
  • 20 SepWValencia 2148
  • 17 SepLBournemouth 2110
  • 13 SepLAtletico Madrid 2175
  • 7 SepWElche 2126

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Union St. Gilloise3 /113.028.462.29.5
Real Sociedad0 /112.625.165.69.2

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Havenaar
N. Havenaar

Union St. Gilloise · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1801

Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez

Real Sociedad · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 2248

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

David Hubert

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Union St. Gilloise: high-pressing (how David Hubert plays) · Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.