Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Udinese 0–3 Lecce
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
UdineseTeam 1967
LecceTeam 1802Match story
Udinese · draw · LecceBefore kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%
Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kialonda Gaspar 11'
- Konan N'Dri 33'
- Jamil Siebert 86'
We gave Udinese 53% to win: Lecce won.
- 11'Kialonda Gaspar 1983 +41* assist Antonino Gallo 2010 +43
Lecce:Kialonda Gaspar 1983 +41* assist Antonino Gallo 2010 +43 - 33'Konan N'Dri 1805 +101 assist Tiago Gabriel 1999 +47
Lecce:Konan N'Dri 1805 +101 assist Tiago Gabriel 1999 +47 - 41'Mohamed Kaba 1810 +43* for Lassana Coulibaly 1946 +11
Lecce:Mohamed Kaba 1810 +43* for Lassana Coulibaly 1946 +11 - Hassane Kamara 2005 −1143'
Udinese:Hassane Kamara 2005 −11 - Matteo Palma 1672 −8* for David Alaba 2014 −1445'
Udinese:Matteo Palma 1672 −8* for David Alaba 2014 −14 - Juan Arizala 1674 0 for Hassane Kamara 2005 −1145'
Udinese:Juan Arizala 1674 0 for Hassane Kamara 2005 −11 - Jakub Piotrowski 1977 −14* for Oier Zarraga 1814 −145'
Udinese:Jakub Piotrowski 1977 −14* for Oier Zarraga 1814 −1 - Unai Gómez 2004 −4 for Giorgi Chakvetadze 1974 −764'
Udinese:Unai Gómez 2004 −4 for Giorgi Chakvetadze 1974 −7 - Alessandro Zanoli 1986 −11* for Enzo Ebosse 1950 −564'
Udinese:Alessandro Zanoli 1986 −11* for Enzo Ebosse 1950 −5 - 69'Santiago Pierotti 1919 +5 for Amar Fatah 1636 +41
Lecce:Santiago Pierotti 1919 +5 for Amar Fatah 1636 +41 - 70'Paco Esteban 1640 +11 for Willem Geubbels 1915 +18
Lecce:Paco Esteban 1640 +11 for Willem Geubbels 1915 +18 - 82'Joel Almada Monteiro 1911 +3 for Konan N'Dri 1805 +101
Lecce:Joel Almada Monteiro 1911 +3 for Konan N'Dri 1805 +101 - 82'Jamil Siebert 1925 +5 for Youssef Maleh 1907 +21
Lecce:Jamil Siebert 1925 +5 for Youssef Maleh 1907 +21 - 86'Jamil Siebert 1925 +5
Lecce:Jamil Siebert 1925 +5
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%(Udinese · draw · Lecce)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Udinese €5.5M, Lecce €3.4M.
- Udinese were without 1 expected starter: J. Abankwah (2013).
- Lecce were without 1 expected starter: I. Ilić (1998).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Udinese
15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 12 OctLTorino Serie A2028
- 19 SepLCagliari Serie A2046
- 14 SepLInter Serie A2042
- 7 SepLLazio Serie A2070
- 2 SepWVenezia Italy Coppa Italia2001
Lecce
13th in Serie A · 6 pts from 6
- 11 OctLBologna Serie A1894
- 20 SepLAC Milan Serie A1949
- 13 SepWMonza Serie A1909
- 7 SepLCagliari Serie A1936
- 31 AugLAS Roma Serie A1861
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 4 /6 | 39.5 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 16th |
| Lecce | 6 /6 | 31.5 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Udinese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2073

Lecce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1960
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Udinese: direct · dribble-heavy (how Kosta Runjaić plays) · Lecce: direct (how Eusebio Luca Di Francesco plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.