Primera División · Clausura - 15
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
UCV Moquegua host Club Deportivo Los Chankas on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: UCV Moquegua 29%, draw 28%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: UCV Moquegua €242K, Club Deportivo Los Chankas €287K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. UCV Moquegua goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: UCV Moquegua 1428 · Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1528
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
UCV Moquegua · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1546
Club Deportivo Los Chankas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1646
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
UCV Moquegua
16th in Primera División · 28 pts from 29
- 18 OctWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1428
- 8 OctLCienciano Peru Primera Division1404
- 20 SepLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1443
- 13 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1463
- 5 SepLCusco Peru Primera Division1446
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
6th in Primera División · 46 pts from 29
- 16 OctWADT Peru Primera Division1521
- 8 OctDAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1524
- 30 SepDCienciano Peru Primera Division1532
- 12 SepLFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1556
- 6 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1564
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV Moquegua | 28 /29 | 32.9 | 0% | 0% | 64% | 17th |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 46 /29 | 52.2 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
UCV Moquegua: balanced profile (how Jaime César Santiago Serna Mozombite plays) · Club Deportivo Los Chankas: balanced profile (how Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado plays)