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UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

Twente 1–0 FC Thun

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

Twente crestTwenteTeam 1982
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
FC Thun crestFC ThunTeam 1652

Match story

Twente · draw · FC Thun

Before kick-off: 71% · 18% · 11%

Live chances: Twente 99%, draw 1%, FC Thun 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Twente 71%, draw 18%, FC Thun 11%2' · 0–0 · Twente 71%, draw 18%, FC Thun 11%3' · 0–0 · Twente 71%, draw 18%, FC Thun 11%4' · 0–0 · Twente 70%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%5' · 0–0 · Twente 70%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%6' · 0–0 · Twente 70%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%7' · 0–0 · Twente 70%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%8' · 0–0 · Twente 69%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%9' · 0–0 · Twente 69%, draw 19%, FC Thun 11%11' · 0–0 · Twente 69%, draw 20%, FC Thun 11%12' · 0–0 · Twente 68%, draw 20%, FC Thun 12%13' · 0–0 · Twente 68%, draw 20%, FC Thun 12%14' · 0–0 · Twente 68%, draw 20%, FC Thun 12%15' · 0–0 · Twente 68%, draw 21%, FC Thun 12%16' · 0–0 · Twente 67%, draw 21%, FC Thun 12%17' · 0–0 · Twente 67%, draw 21%, FC Thun 12%18' · 0–0 · Twente 67%, draw 21%, FC Thun 12%19' · 0–0 · Twente 66%, draw 22%, FC Thun 12%20' · 0–0 · Twente 66%, draw 22%, FC Thun 12%21' · 0–0 · Twente 66%, draw 22%, FC Thun 12%22' · 0–0 · Twente 65%, draw 22%, FC Thun 12%23' · 0–0 · Twente 65%, draw 23%, FC Thun 12%24' · 0–0 · Twente 65%, draw 23%, FC Thun 12%24' · 1–0 · Twente 87%, draw 10%, FC Thun 3%26' · 1–0 · Twente 87%, draw 10%, FC Thun 3%27' · 0–0 · Twente 64%, draw 23%, FC Thun 13%28' · 0–0 · Twente 64%, draw 24%, FC Thun 13%29' · 0–0 · Twente 63%, draw 24%, FC Thun 13%31' · 0–0 · Twente 63%, draw 25%, FC Thun 13%32' · 0–0 · Twente 62%, draw 25%, FC Thun 13%33' · 0–0 · Twente 62%, draw 25%, FC Thun 13%34' · 0–0 · Twente 61%, draw 26%, FC Thun 13%35' · 0–0 · Twente 61%, draw 26%, FC Thun 13%36' · 0–0 · Twente 61%, draw 26%, FC Thun 13%37' · 0–0 · Twente 60%, draw 27%, FC Thun 13%38' · 0–0 · Twente 60%, draw 27%, FC Thun 13%39' · 0–0 · Twente 59%, draw 27%, FC Thun 13%40' · 0–0 · Twente 59%, draw 28%, FC Thun 13%41' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 28%, FC Thun 13%42' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 28%, FC Thun 14%43' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 29%, FC Thun 14%44' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 29%, FC Thun 14%45' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 30%, FC Thun 14%45+1' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 30%, FC Thun 14%45+2' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 30%, FC Thun 14%HT · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 31%, FC Thun 14%47' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 32%, FC Thun 14%48' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 32%, FC Thun 14%49' · 0–0 · Twente 53%, draw 33%, FC Thun 14%50' · 0–0 · Twente 53%, draw 33%, FC Thun 14%51' · 0–0 · Twente 52%, draw 34%, FC Thun 14%52' · 0–0 · Twente 52%, draw 34%, FC Thun 14%53' · 0–0 · Twente 51%, draw 35%, FC Thun 14%54' · 0–0 · Twente 50%, draw 36%, FC Thun 14%56' · 0–0 · Twente 49%, draw 37%, FC Thun 14%57' · 0–0 · Twente 48%, draw 38%, FC Thun 14%58' · 0–0 · Twente 47%, draw 39%, FC Thun 14%59' · 0–0 · Twente 47%, draw 40%, FC Thun 14%60' · 0–0 · Twente 46%, draw 40%, FC Thun 14%61' · 0–0 · Twente 45%, draw 41%, FC Thun 14%61' · 0–0 · Twente 59%, draw 34%, FC Thun 7%62' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 34%, FC Thun 7%64' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 36%, FC Thun 7%65' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 37%, FC Thun 7%66' · 1–0 · Twente 92%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%68' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%69' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%70' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%72' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%73' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%74' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 1%75' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 0%76' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 7%, FC Thun 0%78' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%79' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%80' · 1–0 · Twente 93%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%81' · 1–0 · Twente 94%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%82' · 1–0 · Twente 94%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%83' · 1–0 · Twente 94%, draw 6%, FC Thun 0%84' · 1–0 · Twente 94%, draw 5%, FC Thun 0%85' · 1–0 · Twente 95%, draw 5%, FC Thun 0%86' · 1–0 · Twente 95%, draw 5%, FC Thun 0%87' · 1–0 · Twente 95%, draw 5%, FC Thun 0%88' · 1–0 · Twente 95%, draw 4%, FC Thun 0%89' · 1–0 · Twente 96%, draw 4%, FC Thun 0%90' · 1–0 · Twente 96%, draw 4%, FC Thun 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Twente 97%, draw 3%, FC Thun 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Twente 98%, draw 2%, FC Thun 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Twente 98%, draw 2%, FC Thun 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Twente 99%, draw 1%, FC Thun 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Twente 71% to win: they did.

  1. 31'FC Thun:F. Fehr 1774 −8
  2. 43'Twente:A. Adelgaard 1945 +18
  3. 46'FC Thun:N. Zoukit 1468 0 for J. Bamert 1792 −5
  4. 60'FC Thun:P. Kristal 1541 0
  5. 65'Twente:R. Zerrouki 2155 +7 assist D. Weidmann 1966 +15
  6. 66'FC Thun:L. Passavant 1420 0 for N. Reichmuth 1769 −2
  7. 66'FC Thun:N. Maier 1709 −1 for F. Dursun 1609 0
  8. 67'Twente:M. Pjaca 1947 −1 for D. Rots 2126 +7
  9. 67'Twente:K. Hlynsson 2123 +3 for Y. Taha 2002 +10
  10. 78'Twente:F. Thorvaldsen 1662 −6* for S. Orjasaeter 2089 +1*
  11. 81'FC Thun:R. Braschi 1811 −1 for B. Labeau 1794 −5
  12. 81'FC Thun:T. Strannegard 1553 0 for O. Mambwa 1579 −8*
  13. 84'Twente:T. van den Belt 2089 0 for D. Weidmann 1966 +15

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GNiklas Steffen1794−9
DFabio Fehr1774−8
DNicolas Bürgy1727−7
DJan Bamert1792−5
DOlivier Mambwa1579−8*
MNils Reichmuth1769−2
MJustin Roth1763−3
MMattias Käit1828−12
MPatrik Kristal15410
FBrighton Labeau1794−5
FFurkan Dursun16090
CLuca Privitelli Gian1682
Before kick-off: 71% · 18% · 11%(Twente · draw · FC Thun)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Twente €3.8M, FC Thun €1.1M.
  • Draw chance was 17%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
  • Twente's expected eleven was in form: average +1.9 over 180 days.
  • FC Thun's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.5 over 180 days.
  • Twente were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Twente

4th in Eredivisie · 17 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDFortuna Sittard 2033
  • 20 SepWPSV Eindhoven 1981
  • 12 SepWADO Den Haag 1995
  • 9 SepWTelstar 1993
  • 6 SepDGroningen 1994

FC Thun

9th in Super League · 10 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLFC Zurich 1638
  • 20 SepWFC Vaduz 1664
  • 16 SepLServette FC 1664
  • 12 SepLGrasshoppers 1679
  • 6 SepLFC Sion 1674

League phase outlook

From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Twente0 /011.751.745.13.1
FC Thun0 /05.11.128.470.5

Full league phase and chances: Conference League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Zerrouki
R. Zerrouki

Twente · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2149

N. Steffen
N. Steffen

FC Thun · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1803

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

John Antonius van den Brom

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Luca Privitelli Gian

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Twente: balanced profile (how John Antonius van den Brom plays) · FC Thun: direct (how Luca Privitelli Gian plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.