UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor host SC Freiburg on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Trabzonspor 44%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Trabzonspor €7.3M, SC Freiburg €14.4M.
- Home advantage makes Trabzonspor the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Trabzonspor's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
- Trabzonspor have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Trabzonspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Trabzonspor 2158 · SC Freiburg 2165
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2329
SC Freiburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2265
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trabzonspor
4th in Süper Lig · 16 pts from 8
- 22 OctWHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Conference League2042
- 19 OctWBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig2164
- 15 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League2057
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
SC Freiburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 22 OctLMonaco UEFA Conference League2191
- 18 OctLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2231
- 15 OctWFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2099
- 11 OctWFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga2249
- 19 SepDEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2245
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 6 /2 | 13.8 | 77.5 | 22.4 | 0.1 |
| SC Freiburg | 3 /2 | 10.4 | 23.4 | 71.7 | 4.9 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays) · SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays)