UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor host Heart Of Midlothian on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Trabzonspor 73%, draw 17%, Heart Of Midlothian 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Trabzonspor €6.0M, Heart Of Midlothian €925K.
- Draw chance 17%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 26% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Trabzonspor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.1 pts
Team Elo: Trabzonspor 2131 · Heart Of Midlothian 1771
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2302
Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1873
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trabzonspor
5th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 7
- 15 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League2057
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 9
- 18 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1798
- 15 OctDFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League1771
- 10 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1736
- 19 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1788
- 15 SepLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1819
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 1 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 3 /1 | 12.9 | 67.7 | 31.4 | 0.9 |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1 /1 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 51.3 | 45.5 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays) · Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays)