UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Torreense 1–2 Sunderland
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
TorreenseTeam 1565
SunderlandTeam 2029Match story
Torreense · draw · SunderlandBefore kick-off: 14% · 25% · 61%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Volnei Feltes 37'
- Jules Ahoka 67'
- Noah Sadiki 90+3'
We gave Sunderland 61% to win: they did.
- Volnei Feltes 1606 −7 assist Amine Oudrhiri 1515 −637'
Torreense:Volnei Feltes 1606 −7 assist Amine Oudrhiri 1515 −6 - Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8*43'
Torreense:Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8* - 45'Trai Hume 2354 +3
Sunderland:Trai Hume 2354 +3 - 58'Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2 for Malick Fofana 2164 +5
Sunderland:Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2 for Malick Fofana 2164 +5 - 58'Granit Xhaka 2248 0 for Nilson Angulo 2136 +16
Sunderland:Granit Xhaka 2248 0 for Nilson Angulo 2136 +16 - 59'Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1 for Trai Hume 2354 +3
Sunderland:Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1 for Trai Hume 2354 +3 - 59'Reinildo Isnard Mandava 2236 −2 for Dayann Methalie 1923 +9
Sunderland:Reinildo Isnard Mandava 2236 −2 for Dayann Methalie 1923 +9 - Ianique Tavares Stopira 1408 −19* for Manuel Pozo 1673 −11*63'
Torreense:Ianique Tavares Stopira 1408 −19* for Manuel Pozo 1673 −11* - David Bruno 1585 −7 for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8*63'
Torreense:David Bruno 1585 −7 for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8* - 67'Jules Ahoka 1791 +40* assist Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1
Sunderland:Jules Ahoka 1791 +40* assist Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1 - Dany Jean 1700 −1 for João Marques 1700 −573'
Torreense:Dany Jean 1700 −1 for João Marques 1700 −5 - L. Quintero 1416 0 for Karem Zoabi 1286 −8*73'
Torreense:L. Quintero 1416 0 for Karem Zoabi 1286 −8* - 79'Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2
Sunderland:Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2 - 85'Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1
Sunderland:Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1 - musa drammeh 1539 −8* for Malik Abubakari 1469 090+2'
Torreense:musa drammeh 1539 −8* for Malik Abubakari 1469 0 - 90+3'Noah Sadiki 2317 +14 assist Granit Xhaka 2248 0
Sunderland:Noah Sadiki 2317 +14 assist Granit Xhaka 2248 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 14% · 25% · 61%(Torreense · draw · Sunderland)
Our most likely score was 0–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Torreense €506K, Sunderland €16.7M.
- Sunderland were without 2 expected starters: D. Ballard (2256) and T. Meunier (2070).
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa League League Stage - 2: 585 points.
- Draw chance was 17%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 25% this round.
- Segunda Liga: Adriel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1735).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torreense
15th in Segunda Liga · 6 pts from 7
- 10 OctLTondela Liga Portugal 21614
- 17 SepWLillestrom UEFA Europa League1592
- 11 SepDLeixoes Liga Portugal 21554
- 5 SepWBenfica B Liga Portugal 21531
- 29 AugLVizela Liga Portugal 21548
Sunderland
17th in Premier League · 4 pts from 6
- 10 OctLBrighton Premier League2247
- 20 SepLManchester City Premier League2224
- 16 SepWAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League2251
- 12 SepLArsenal Premier League2255
- 8 SepWHull City England League Cup1984
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 3 /1 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 24.5 | 74.9 |
| Sunderland | 3 /1 | 16.4 | 69.5 | 29.5 | 1.0 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1667

Sunderland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 2082
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão plays) · Sunderland: balanced profile (how Régis Le Bris plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.