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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Torreense 1–2 Sunderland

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria

Torreense crestTorreenseTeam 1565
1–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Sunderland crestSunderlandTeam 2029

Match story

Torreense · draw · Sunderland

Before kick-off: 14% · 25% · 61%

Live chances: Torreense 0%, draw 1%, Sunderland 99% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 25%, Sunderland 61%2' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 25%, Sunderland 61%3' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 25%, Sunderland 61%4' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 25%, Sunderland 61%5' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 26%, Sunderland 61%6' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 26%, Sunderland 60%7' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 26%, Sunderland 60%8' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 26%, Sunderland 60%9' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 26%, Sunderland 60%10' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 27%, Sunderland 59%11' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 27%, Sunderland 59%12' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 27%, Sunderland 59%13' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 27%, Sunderland 59%14' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 27%, Sunderland 58%15' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 28%, Sunderland 58%16' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 28%, Sunderland 58%17' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 28%, Sunderland 58%18' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 28%, Sunderland 57%19' · 0–0 · Torreense 14%, draw 29%, Sunderland 57%20' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 29%, Sunderland 57%21' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 29%, Sunderland 56%22' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 29%, Sunderland 56%23' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 30%, Sunderland 56%24' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 30%, Sunderland 56%25' · 0–1 · Torreense 5%, draw 15%, Sunderland 81%26' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 30%, Sunderland 55%27' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 31%, Sunderland 55%28' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 31%, Sunderland 54%29' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 31%, Sunderland 54%30' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 31%, Sunderland 54%31' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 32%, Sunderland 53%32' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 32%, Sunderland 53%33' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 32%, Sunderland 53%34' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 33%, Sunderland 52%35' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 33%, Sunderland 52%36' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 33%, Sunderland 52%37' · 0–0 · Torreense 15%, draw 34%, Sunderland 51%38' · 1–0 · Torreense 47%, draw 30%, Sunderland 22%39' · 1–0 · Torreense 48%, draw 30%, Sunderland 22%40' · 1–0 · Torreense 48%, draw 30%, Sunderland 21%41' · 1–0 · Torreense 49%, draw 30%, Sunderland 21%42' · 1–0 · Torreense 49%, draw 30%, Sunderland 21%44' · 1–0 · Torreense 50%, draw 30%, Sunderland 20%45' · 1–0 · Torreense 50%, draw 30%, Sunderland 19%45+1' · 1–0 · Torreense 51%, draw 30%, Sunderland 19%HT · 1–0 · Torreense 52%, draw 30%, Sunderland 18%47' · 1–0 · Torreense 52%, draw 30%, Sunderland 17%48' · 1–0 · Torreense 53%, draw 30%, Sunderland 17%49' · 1–0 · Torreense 53%, draw 30%, Sunderland 16%50' · 1–0 · Torreense 54%, draw 30%, Sunderland 16%51' · 1–0 · Torreense 55%, draw 30%, Sunderland 15%52' · 1–0 · Torreense 55%, draw 30%, Sunderland 15%53' · 1–0 · Torreense 56%, draw 30%, Sunderland 14%54' · 1–0 · Torreense 57%, draw 30%, Sunderland 14%55' · 1–0 · Torreense 57%, draw 29%, Sunderland 13%56' · 1–0 · Torreense 58%, draw 29%, Sunderland 13%57' · 1–0 · Torreense 59%, draw 29%, Sunderland 12%58' · 1–0 · Torreense 59%, draw 29%, Sunderland 12%59' · 1–0 · Torreense 60%, draw 29%, Sunderland 11%60' · 1–0 · Torreense 61%, draw 28%, Sunderland 11%61' · 1–0 · Torreense 61%, draw 28%, Sunderland 10%62' · 1–0 · Torreense 62%, draw 28%, Sunderland 10%63' · 1–0 · Torreense 63%, draw 28%, Sunderland 10%64' · 1–0 · Torreense 63%, draw 27%, Sunderland 9%65' · 1–0 · Torreense 64%, draw 27%, Sunderland 9%66' · 1–0 · Torreense 65%, draw 27%, Sunderland 8%67' · 1–0 · Torreense 66%, draw 26%, Sunderland 8%68' · 1–0 · Torreense 66%, draw 26%, Sunderland 8%69' · 1–1 · Torreense 13%, draw 55%, Sunderland 32%70' · 1–1 · Torreense 13%, draw 56%, Sunderland 31%71' · 1–1 · Torreense 12%, draw 57%, Sunderland 30%72' · 1–1 · Torreense 12%, draw 58%, Sunderland 30%73' · 1–1 · Torreense 12%, draw 59%, Sunderland 29%74' · 1–1 · Torreense 12%, draw 60%, Sunderland 28%75' · 1–1 · Torreense 12%, draw 61%, Sunderland 27%76' · 1–1 · Torreense 11%, draw 63%, Sunderland 26%77' · 1–1 · Torreense 11%, draw 64%, Sunderland 25%78' · 1–1 · Torreense 11%, draw 65%, Sunderland 24%79' · 1–1 · Torreense 10%, draw 66%, Sunderland 23%80' · 1–1 · Torreense 10%, draw 68%, Sunderland 22%81' · 1–1 · Torreense 10%, draw 69%, Sunderland 21%82' · 1–1 · Torreense 9%, draw 71%, Sunderland 20%83' · 1–1 · Torreense 9%, draw 72%, Sunderland 19%84' · 1–1 · Torreense 8%, draw 74%, Sunderland 18%85' · 1–1 · Torreense 8%, draw 75%, Sunderland 17%86' · 1–1 · Torreense 7%, draw 77%, Sunderland 16%87' · 1–1 · Torreense 7%, draw 78%, Sunderland 15%88' · 1–1 · Torreense 6%, draw 80%, Sunderland 13%89' · 1–1 · Torreense 6%, draw 82%, Sunderland 12%90' · 1–1 · Torreense 5%, draw 84%, Sunderland 11%90+1' · 1–1 · Torreense 5%, draw 86%, Sunderland 9%90+2' · 1–1 · Torreense 4%, draw 89%, Sunderland 8%90+3' · 1–1 · Torreense 3%, draw 91%, Sunderland 6%90+4' · 1–2 · Torreense 0%, draw 3%, Sunderland 97%90+5' · 1–2 · Torreense 0%, draw 2%, Sunderland 98%90+6' · 1–2 · Torreense 0%, draw 1%, Sunderland 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sunderland 61% to win: they did.

  1. 37'Torreense:Volnei Feltes 1606 −7 assist Amine Oudrhiri 1515 −6
  2. 43'Torreense:Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8*
  3. 45'Sunderland:Trai Hume 2354 +3
  4. 58'Sunderland:Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2 for Malick Fofana 2164 +5
  5. 58'Sunderland:Granit Xhaka 2248 0 for Nilson Angulo 2136 +16
  6. 59'Sunderland:Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1 for Trai Hume 2354 +3
  7. 59'Sunderland:Reinildo Isnard Mandava 2236 −2 for Dayann Methalie 1923 +9
  8. 63'Torreense:Ianique Tavares Stopira 1408 −19* for Manuel Pozo 1673 −11*
  9. 63'Torreense:David Bruno 1585 −7 for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 1478 −8*
  10. 67'Sunderland:Jules Ahoka 1791 +40* assist Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1
  11. 73'Torreense:Dany Jean 1700 −1 for João Marques 1700 −5
  12. 73'Torreense:L. Quintero 1416 0 for Karem Zoabi 1286 −8*
  13. 79'Sunderland:Enzo Le Fée 2281 +2
  14. 85'Sunderland:Nordi Mukiele 2291 +1
  15. 90+2'Torreense:musa drammeh 1539 −8* for Malik Abubakari 1469 0
  16. 90+3'Sunderland:Noah Sadiki 2317 +14 assist Granit Xhaka 2248 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GLucas Paes1654−12*
DJ. Mutombo1478−8*
DM. Diadie1671−5
DVolnei Feltes1606−7
DJavi Vázquez1684−6
MA. Oudrhiri1515−6
MManu Pozo1673−11*
MK. Zoabi1286−8*
MJoão Marques1700−5
GR. Roefs2272+6
DT. Hume2354+3
DL. O'Nien2064+19
MJules Ahoka1791+40*
MN. Sadiki2317+14
MN. Angulo2136+16
MC. Rigg2084+3*
MM. Fofana2164+5
CR. Le Bris2277+11
Before kick-off: 14% · 25% · 61%(Torreense · draw · Sunderland)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 0–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Torreense €506K, Sunderland €16.7M.
  • Sunderland were without 2 expected starters: D. Ballard (2256) and T. Meunier (2070).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa League League Stage - 2: 585 points.
  • Draw chance was 17%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 25% this round.
  • Segunda Liga: Adriel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1735).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Torreense

15th in Segunda Liga · 6 pts from 7

  • 10 OctLTondela 1614
  • 17 SepWLillestrom 1592
  • 11 SepDLeixoes 1554
  • 5 SepWBenfica B 1531
  • 29 AugLVizela 1548

Sunderland

17th in Premier League · 4 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLBrighton 2247
  • 20 SepLManchester City 2224
  • 16 SepWAZ Alkmaar 2251
  • 12 SepLArsenal 2255
  • 8 SepWHull City 1984

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Torreense3 /17.40.724.574.9
Sunderland3 /116.469.529.51.0

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lucas Paes
Lucas Paes

Torreense · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1667

C. Rigg
C. Rigg

Sunderland · +0.5 (Good) · Elo 2082

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Régis Le Bris

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão plays) · Sunderland: balanced profile (how Régis Le Bris plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.