UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Torreense vs Celtic
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Algarve
Torreense host Celtic on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Torreense 14%, draw 21%, Celtic 65%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Torreense €578K, Celtic €3.7M.
- Segunda Liga: Adriel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1719).
- Premiership: L. Scales is the highest-rated defender (2238).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Torreense goals first.
- 0–211%
- 0–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.7 pts
Team Elo: Torreense 1604 · Celtic 2075
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1554
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2238
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torreense
13th in Segunda Liga · 10 pts from 10
- 9 NovLUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21621
- 5 NovWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1586
- 31 OctDPortimonense Liga Portugal 21612
- 26 OctWAmarante Liga Portugal 21601
- 22 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1562
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 31 pts from 13
- 8 NovWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership2137
- 5 NovWBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2052
- 1 NovLFalkirk Scotland Premiership2011
- 28 OctDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership2056
- 25 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership2031
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 6 /4 | 8.0 | 0.1 | 23.6 | 76.3 |
| Celtic | 3 /4 | 9.2 | 0.9 | 54.2 | 44.9 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torreense: balanced profile (how João Nuno plays) · Celtic: possession-based · creative (how M. O'Neill plays)