Serie A · Regular Season - 6
Torino 2–1 Udinese
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
TorinoTeam 1994
UdineseTeam 1992Match story
Torino · draw · UdineseBefore kick-off: 37% · 30% · 33%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Torino 37% to win: they did.
- Daniel Bragança 2222 +11*36'
Torino:Daniel Bragança 2222 +11* - 43'Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 2073 −37*
Udinese:Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 2073 −37* - Ardian Ismajli 2091 +8 for Ricardo Rodríguez 2228 045'
Torino:Ardian Ismajli 2091 +8 for Ricardo Rodríguez 2228 0 - Nikola Vlašić 2106 +6 for Gaetano Oristanio 1849 +14*54'
Torino:Nikola Vlašić 2106 +6 for Gaetano Oristanio 1849 +14* - Emirhan İlkhan 1944 0* for Daniel Bragança 2222 +11*54'
Torino:Emirhan İlkhan 1944 0* for Daniel Bragança 2222 +11* - 60'Nicolo Bertola 1980 −9* for James Abankwah 2013 −4
Udinese:Nicolo Bertola 1980 −9* for James Abankwah 2013 −4 - Sandro Kulenović 1896 +17* for Che Adams 2136 +2*64'
Torino:Sandro Kulenović 1896 +17* for Che Adams 2136 +2* - Sandro Kulenović 1896 +17*67'
Torino:Sandro Kulenović 1896 +17* - 72'Lazar Jovanovic 1454 −8* for Oier Zarraga 1815 −8*
Udinese:Lazar Jovanovic 1454 −8* for Oier Zarraga 1815 −8* - 72'Keinan Davis 2052 −10* for Unai Gómez 2008 −12*
Udinese:Keinan Davis 2052 −10* for Unai Gómez 2008 −12* - 72'David Alaba 2028 −15* for Mergim Vojvoda 2099 −13
Udinese:David Alaba 2028 −15* for Mergim Vojvoda 2099 −13 - Gvidas Gineitis 2037 +3 for Emirhan İlkhan 1944 0*77'
Torino:Gvidas Gineitis 2037 +3 for Emirhan İlkhan 1944 0* - 81'Juan Arizala 1674 −8* for Hassane Kamara 2016 −18*
Udinese:Juan Arizala 1674 −8* for Hassane Kamara 2016 −18* - 89'Nicolo Bertola 1980 −9*
Udinese:Nicolo Bertola 1980 −9*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 30% · 33%(Torino · draw · Udinese)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Torino €7.8M, Udinese €6.1M.
- Udinese were without 1 expected starter: J. Piotrowski (1991).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Serie A): Torino ranked #18 of 20, Udinese #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torino
15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 5
- 19 SepDBologna Serie A2039
- 14 SepLAS Roma Serie A2048
- 5 SepWFiorentina Serie A2025
- 29 AugLSassuolo Serie A1976
- 23 AugLAC Milan Serie A2013
Udinese
14th in Serie A · 4 pts from 5
- 19 SepLCagliari Serie A2046
- 14 SepLInter Serie A2042
- 7 SepLLazio Serie A2070
- 2 SepWVenezia Italy Coppa Italia2001
- 29 AugWMonza Serie A2054
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 4 /5 | 42.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 15th |
| Udinese | 4 /5 | 41.5 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Torino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2211

Udinese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2110
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torino: balanced profile (how Ignazio Abate plays) · Udinese: direct · dribble-heavy (how Kosta Runjaić plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.