Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Torino vs Monza
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Torino host Monza on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Torino 50%, draw 27%, Monza 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Torino €8.6M, Monza €3.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Torino goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Torino 2046 · Monza 1913
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2036
Monza · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1993
Absences
Torino
Ruled out
- F. IsraelShoulder Injury2138
Monza
None reported
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torino
13th in Serie A · 7 pts from 6
- 12 OctWUdinese Serie A2054
- 19 SepDBologna Serie A2039
- 14 SepLAS Roma Serie A2048
- 5 SepWFiorentina Serie A2025
- 29 AugLSassuolo Serie A1976
Monza
15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 11 OctLLazio Serie A1964
- 18 SepWSassuolo Serie A1908
- 13 SepLLecce Serie A1928
- 6 SepDParma Serie A1884
- 29 AugLUdinese Serie A1895
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 7 /6 | 45.6 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 13th |
| Monza | 4 /6 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torino: balanced profile (how Ignazio Abate plays) · Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays)