Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Torino vs Lecce
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Torino host Lecce on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Torino 55%, draw 25%, Lecce 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Torino €8.9M, Lecce €4.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Torino goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Torino 2067 · Lecce 1884
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2245
Lecce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1976
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torino
10th in Serie A · 10 pts from 7
- 19 OctWParma Serie A2083
- 12 OctWUdinese Serie A2054
- 19 SepDBologna Serie A2039
- 14 SepLAS Roma Serie A2048
- 5 SepWFiorentina Serie A2025
Lecce
12th in Serie A · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctWUdinese Serie A1867
- 11 OctLBologna Serie A1894
- 20 SepLAC Milan Serie A1949
- 13 SepWMonza Serie A1909
- 7 SepLCagliari Serie A1936
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 10 /7 | 49.1 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 10th |
| Lecce | 9 /7 | 34.1 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torino: balanced profile (how Ignazio Abate plays) · Lecce: direct (how E. Di Francesco plays)