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J1 League · Regular Season - 9

Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu

Tokyo Verdy crestTokyo VerdyTeam 1530
0–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima crestSanfrecce HiroshimaTeam 1853

Match story

Tokyo Verdy · draw · Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Before kick-off: 19% · 26% · 56%

Live chances: Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56%3' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%5' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%6' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%7' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%9' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%10' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%12' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%13' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%15' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%16' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%17' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%19' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%20' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%21' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%22' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%23' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%24' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%25' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%26' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%27' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%28' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%29' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%30' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%31' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 32%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%32' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 32%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%33' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 32%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%34' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 33%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%35' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 33%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%36' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 33%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%37' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 33%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%38' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 34%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%39' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 34%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%40' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 35%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%41' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 35%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%42' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 35%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%43' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 36%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%44' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 36%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%45' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 36%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%45+1' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 37%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%45+2' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 37%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%45+3' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 38%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%HT · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 38%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%46' · 0–0 · Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 38%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%47' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%48' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%49' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%50' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%51' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%52' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%53' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%54' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 5%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%55' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 4%, draw 18%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%56' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 4%, draw 17%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%57' · 0–1 · Tokyo Verdy 4%, draw 17%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78%58' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 3%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 97%60' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 3%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 97%62' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 3%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 97%64' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 97%65' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 97%66' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%68' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%69' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%70' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%71' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%73' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%74' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 2%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%75' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 98%76' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%77' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%78' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%79' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%80' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%81' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%82' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%83' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%84' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%85' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 1%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%86' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 99%87' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%88' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%89' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%90' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Tokyo Verdy 0%, draw 0%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100%

Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Tokyo Verdy:Kim Hyun-Woo 1389 −8*
  2. 17'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Kim Ju-sung 1856 +10*
  3. 40'Tokyo Verdy:Kaito Suzuki 1601 −9*
  4. 45'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Taishi Matsumoto 1874 +8* for Yotaro Nakajima 1769 +1*
  5. 45'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Sébastien Haller 1836 −4* for Mutsuki Kato 1848 −2*
  6. 45'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Shunki Higashi 1956 −4* for Kim Ju-sung 1856 +10*
  7. 47'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Taishi Matsumoto 1874 +8* assist Akito Suzuki 1961 +16*
  8. 55'Tokyo Verdy:Itsuki Someno 1577 −8*
  9. 57'Tokyo Verdy:Kazunari Ichimi 1529 −9* for Kim Hyun-Woo 1389 −8*
  10. 58'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Akito Suzuki 1961 +16*
  11. 67'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Naoki Maeda 1585 −4* for Daiki Suga 1706 +7*
  12. 70'Tokyo Verdy:Issei Kumatoriya 1457 −8* for Kanya Fujimoto 1610 −10*
  13. 70'Tokyo Verdy:Shuhei Mizoguchi 1633 −9* for Yuya Fukuda 1546 −8*
  14. 81'Sanfrecce Hiroshima:Takuma Asano 1780 −10* for Shun Ayukawa 1547 +19*
  15. 85'Tokyo Verdy:Goki Yamada 1343 −8* for Kazunari Ichimi 1529 −9*
  16. 85'Tokyo Verdy:Shion Nakayama 1379 −8* for Kai Shibato 1618 −14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-2-1
GMatheus Vidotto1584−10*
DK. Suzuki1601−9*
DN. Hayashi1617−12*
DM. Sako1381−8*
DY. Arai1546−8*
MK. Fujimoto1610−10*
MK. Shibato1618−14*
MK. Saito1570−9*
MY. Fukuda1546−8*
FKim Hyun-Woo1389−8*
FI. Someno1577−8*
CN. Soma1712−31*
GK. Osako1924+17*
DS. Nakano1977+13*
DH. Araki1910+20*
DKim Ju-Sung1856+10*
MN. Arai1909+1*
MH. Kawabe1892+1*
MY. Nakajima1769+1*
MD. Suga1706+7*
MM. Kato1848−2*
MA. Suzuki1961+16*
FS. Ayukawa1547+19*
CBartosch Gaul1916+12*
Before kick-off: 19% · 26% · 56%(Tokyo Verdy · draw · Sanfrecce Hiroshima)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Tokyo Verdy €442K, Sanfrecce Hiroshima €1.3M.
  • J1 League: S. Higashi was the highest-rated midfielder (1959).
  • Style contrast in chance creation (J1 League): Tokyo Verdy ranked #22 of 23, Sanfrecce Hiroshima #1.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima's expected eleven was in form: average +2.4 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Tokyo Verdy

19th in J1 League · 4 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLUrawa 1598
  • 13 SepDJEF United Chiba 1600
  • 6 SepDCerezo Osaka 1569
  • 2 SepLVissel Kobe 1554
  • 29 AugLKashima 1588

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3rd in J1 League · 17 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWAvispa Fukuoka 1821
  • 12 SepWCerezo Osaka 1811
  • 6 SepLFagiano Okayama 1853
  • 2 SepWNagoya Grampus 1852
  • 29 AugDGamba Osaka 1833

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Tokyo Verdy4 /834.90%0%64%20th
Sanfrecce Hiroshima17 /867.420%68%0%1st
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Arai
Y. Arai

Tokyo Verdy · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1553

H. Kawabe
H. Kawabe

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1891

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Hiroshi Jofuku

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Bartosch Gaul

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Tokyo Verdy: balanced profile (how Hiroshi Jofuku plays) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: creative · shot-heavy (how Bartosch Gaul plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.