Championship · Regular Season - 13
Stoke City vs Preston
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Stoke City host Preston on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stoke City 55%, draw 25%, Preston 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stoke City €2.9M, Preston €1.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stoke City goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Stoke City 1970 · Preston 1805
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stoke City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2127
Preston · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1808
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stoke City
6th in Championship · 19 pts from 11
- 17 OctWDerby England Championship1980
- 13 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship1986
- 10 OctWBolton England Championship1975
- 19 SepWSheffield Utd England Championship1938
- 12 SepWWatford England Championship1904
Preston
24th in Championship · 4 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWrexham England Championship1796
- 13 OctLBirmingham England Championship1826
- 10 OctLMillwall England Championship1815
- 19 SepDQPR England Championship1818
- 12 SepLLincoln England Championship1830
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 19 /11 | 67.1 | 1% | 11% | <1% | 7th |
| Preston | 4 /11 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stoke City: balanced profile (how Mark Gordon Robins plays) · Preston: balanced profile (how Graham Robert Alexander plays)