Championship · Regular Season - 17
Stoke City vs Millwall
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Stoke City host Millwall on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stoke City 43%, draw 28%, Millwall 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stoke City €3.3M, Millwall €3.6M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Championship): Stoke City rank #22 of 24, Millwall #1.
- Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stoke City goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Stoke City 2009 · Millwall 1987
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stoke City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2159
Millwall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2052
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stoke City
3rd in Championship · 29 pts from 15
- 7 NovWPortsmouth England Championship1994
- 3 NovWBlackburn England Championship1986
- 31 OctWPreston England Championship1987
- 24 OctDBristol City England Championship2006
- 17 OctWDerby England Championship1978
Millwall
16th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovLWest Brom England Championship2008
- 3 NovLBirmingham England Championship2012
- 31 OctWDerby England Championship1995
- 24 OctLPortsmouth England Championship2005
- 17 OctDLincoln England Championship1991
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 29 /15 | 73.4 | 5% | 29% | 0% | 6th |
| Millwall | 18 /15 | 60.7 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stoke City: balanced profile (how M. Robins plays) · Millwall: direct · high-pressing (how A. Neil plays)