UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
St. Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stayen, Sint- Truiden
St. TruidenTeam 1797
FC Iberia 1999Team 1503Match story
St. Truiden · draw · FC Iberia 1999Before kick-off: 68% · 19% · 12%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- R. Vanwesemael 11'
- I. Sebaoui 89'
We gave St. Truiden 68% to win: they did.
- R. Vanwesemael 1968 +9 assist S. Bazdar 1755 +1811'
St. Truiden:R. Vanwesemael 1968 +9 assist S. Bazdar 1755 +18 - N. Ishiwatari 1739 +2236'
St. Truiden:N. Ishiwatari 1739 +22 - 71'J. Tiboue 1515 −8* for Lucas Cafe 1507 −1
FC Iberia 1999:J. Tiboue 1515 −8* for Lucas Cafe 1507 −1 - 71'S. Ende 1464 0 for Z. Natchkebia 1371 −8*
FC Iberia 1999:S. Ende 1464 0 for Z. Natchkebia 1371 −8* - F. Soelle 1374 +2 for S. Bazdar 1755 +1879'
St. Truiden:F. Soelle 1374 +2 for S. Bazdar 1755 +18 - 79'A. Bartishvili 1317 −8* for A. Dzagania 1551 −2
FC Iberia 1999:A. Bartishvili 1317 −8* for A. Dzagania 1551 −2 - K. Matsuzawa 1714 +1 for N. Mbuku 1863 +1384'
St. Truiden:K. Matsuzawa 1714 +1 for N. Mbuku 1863 +13 - 84'G. Kobuladze 1516 −10* for P. Cancar 1557 −7
FC Iberia 1999:G. Kobuladze 1516 −10* for P. Cancar 1557 −7 - 84'G. Kutsia 1552 −8* for N. Dadiani 1615 −5
FC Iberia 1999:G. Kutsia 1552 −8* for N. Dadiani 1615 −5 - I. Sebaoui 1915 +11 assist F. Soelle 1374 +289'
St. Truiden:I. Sebaoui 1915 +11 assist F. Soelle 1374 +2 - S. Shinkawa 1531 0 for I. Sebaoui 1915 +1190+3'
St. Truiden:S. Shinkawa 1531 0 for I. Sebaoui 1915 +11
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 68% · 19% · 12%(St. Truiden · draw · FC Iberia 1999)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: St. Truiden €1.9M, FC Iberia 1999 €286K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Truiden
12th in Pro League · 8 pts from 8
- 11 OctLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1888
- 20 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1898
- 12 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1878
- 5 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1886
- 2 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1806
FC Iberia 1999
3rd in Erovnuli Liga · 49 pts from 28
- 10 OctWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1546
- 17 SepWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1525
- 9 SepLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1490
- 5 SepWSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1521
- 27 AugLJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1524
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 0 /0 | 7.6 | 8.2 | 57.4 | 34.5 |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 0 /0 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 24.9 | 74.2 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

St. Truiden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1948
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.