UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
St. Truiden vs Brann
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
St. Truiden host Brann on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: St. Truiden 54%, draw 26%, Brann 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: St. Truiden €2.1M, Brann €888K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. St. Truiden goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: St. Truiden 1855 · Brann 1743
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
St. Truiden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1979
Brann · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1773
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Truiden
12th in Pro League · 8 pts from 8
- 22 OctWFC Midtjylland UEFA Conference League1827
- 15 OctWFC Iberia 1999 UEFA Conference League1855
- 11 OctLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1888
- 20 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1898
- 12 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1878
Brann
7th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 22 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League1697
- 18 OctLValerenga Eliteserien1730
- 15 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Conference League1736
- 9 OctLViking Eliteserien1719
- 20 SepWBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1723
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 6 /2 | 10.8 | 28.0 | 69.8 | 2.3 |
| Brann | 6 /2 | 10.1 | 19.6 | 76.3 | 4.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
St. Truiden: possession-based (how F. De Meyer plays) · Brann: possession-based (how Eirik Horneland plays)