Primera División · Clausura - 15
Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal host FC Cajamarca on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting Cristal 56%, draw 25%, FC Cajamarca 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting Cristal €685K, FC Cajamarca €256K.
- Sporting Cristal have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting Cristal goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sporting Cristal 1675 · FC Cajamarca 1475
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting Cristal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1671
FC Cajamarca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1573
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting Cristal
8th in Primera División · 44 pts from 29
- 18 OctWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1675
- 11 OctWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1673
- 19 SepWAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1654
- 13 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1642
- 6 SepWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1620
FC Cajamarca
15th in Primera División · 28 pts from 29
- 18 OctLUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1449
- 10 OctDADT Peru Primera Division1476
- 19 SepLCusco Peru Primera Division1492
- 12 SepWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1480
- 4 SepLCienciano Peru Primera Division1509
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 44 /29 | 52.0 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 6th |
| FC Cajamarca | 28 /29 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 54% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting Cristal: balanced profile (how Roberto Orlando Mosquera Vera plays) · FC Cajamarca: balanced profile (how Celso Rafael Ayala Gavilán plays)