Primera División · Clausura - 17
Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal host Cienciano on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting Cristal 44%, draw 28%, Cienciano 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting Cristal €689K, Cienciano €292K.
- All 11 of Cienciano's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting Cristal goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sporting Cristal 1681 · Cienciano 1612
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting Cristal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1665
Cienciano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1665
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting Cristal
7th in Primera División · 47 pts from 31
- 29 OctWAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1658
- 24 OctLCusco Peru Primera Division1694
- 18 OctWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1675
- 11 OctWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1673
- 19 SepWAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1654
Cienciano
6th in Primera División · 50 pts from 31
- 29 OctWAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1587
- 25 OctLComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1627
- 18 OctWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1587
- 8 OctWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1581
- 30 SepDClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1613
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 47 /31 | 52.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 7th |
| Cienciano | 50 /31 | 53.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting Cristal: balanced profile (how R. Mosquera plays) · Cienciano: balanced profile (how Horacio Melgarejo plays)