UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP host Lask Linz on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting CP 70%, draw 19%, Lask Linz 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting CP €14.5M, Lask Linz €1.9M.
- Sporting CP are without 1 expected starter: R. Zalazar (2153).
- Primeira Liga: L. Suárez is the highest-rated forward (2402).
- Bundesliga: L. Jungwirth is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1951).
- Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting CP goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: Sporting CP 2223 · Lask Linz 1914
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: Luis Guilherme for R. Zalazar.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting CP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2293
Lask Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1961
Absences
Lask Linz
Ruled out
- A. SmakajOff the roster1639
- K. CheikneOff the roster1454
Doubtful
- S. HorvathThigh Injury1992
- M. UsorShoulder Injury1965
- G. BelloMuscle Injury1958
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting CP
3rd in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 13 OctWLens UEFA Champions League2247
- 9 OctWSC Braga Primeira Liga2196
- 19 SepDArouca Primeira Liga2274
- 13 SepDFamalicao Primeira Liga2229
- 9 SepWGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2219
Lask Linz
3rd in Bundesliga · 19 pts from 9
- 17 OctWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1876
- 14 OctLLiverpool UEFA Champions League1887
- 11 OctLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1974
- 20 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1948
- 13 SepLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1978
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 6 /2 | 13.4 | 23.9 | 70.6 | 5.5 |
| Lask Linz | 0 /2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 91.9 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting CP: possession-based · creative (how Rui Manuel Gomes Borges plays) · Lask Linz: possession-based (how Dietmar Kühbauer plays)