Primera División · Clausura - 15
Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Sport Huancayo host FBC Melgar on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sport Huancayo 24%, draw 27%, FBC Melgar 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sport Huancayo €266K, FBC Melgar €577K.
- All 11 of Sport Huancayo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Sport Huancayo have won their last 5 matches.
- FBC Melgar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sport Huancayo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sport Huancayo 1553 · FBC Melgar 1729
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sport Huancayo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1630
FBC Melgar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Huancayo
10th in Primera División · 41 pts from 29
- 16 OctWCusco Peru Primera Division1560
- 10 OctWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1516
- 20 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1534
- 12 SepWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1497
- 5 SepWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1481
FBC Melgar
3rd in Primera División · 50 pts from 29
- 17 OctWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1713
- 11 OctDUniversitario Peru Primera Division1727
- 20 SepDSport Boys Peru Primera Division1720
- 12 SepWCusco Peru Primera Division1711
- 6 SepWADT Peru Primera Division1710
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 41 /29 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
| FBC Melgar | 50 /29 | 59.1 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Huancayo: balanced profile (how Richard Javier Pellejero Ferreira plays) · FBC Melgar: balanced profile (how Miguel Ángel Rondelli plays)