Primera División · Clausura - 13
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Sport Huancayo host Alianza Atletico on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sport Huancayo 34%, draw 29%, Alianza Atletico 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sport Huancayo €266K, Alianza Atletico €343K.
- All 11 of Sport Huancayo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Sport Huancayo have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sport Huancayo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sport Huancayo 1553 · Alianza Atletico 1588
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sport Huancayo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1630
Alianza Atletico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1665
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Huancayo
10th in Primera División · 41 pts from 29
- 16 OctWCusco Peru Primera Division1560
- 10 OctWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1516
- 20 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1534
- 12 SepWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1497
- 5 SepWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1481
Alianza Atletico
9th in Primera División · 43 pts from 29
- 18 OctLUniversitario Peru Primera Division1596
- 11 OctWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1570
- 18 SepWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1573
- 13 SepLAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1572
- 4 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1578
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 41 /29 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
| Alianza Atletico | 43 /29 | 49.7 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Huancayo: balanced profile (how Richard Javier Pellejero Ferreira plays) · Alianza Atletico: direct (how Federico Urciuoli plays)