Primera División · Clausura - 16
Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sport Boys host UTC Cajamarca on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sport Boys 56%, draw 25%, UTC Cajamarca 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sport Boys €308K, UTC Cajamarca €176K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera División): Sport Boys rank #1 of 18, UTC Cajamarca #17.
- UTC Cajamarca's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sport Boys goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sport Boys 1601 · UTC Cajamarca 1401
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sport Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1652
UTC Cajamarca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1379
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Boys
11th in Primera División · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1619
- 11 OctLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1627
- 20 SepDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1639
- 13 SepWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1613
- 5 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1632
UTC Cajamarca
18th in Primera División · 15 pts from 29
- 18 OctLCienciano Peru Primera Division1396
- 11 OctLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1384
- 20 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1390
- 11 SepLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1423
- 4 SepLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1414
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Boys | 38 /29 | 45.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
| UTC Cajamarca | 15 /29 | 19.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Boys: balanced profile (how C. Desio plays) · UTC Cajamarca: balanced profile (how Cristián Molins plays)