Primera División · Clausura - 11
Sport Boys 1–3 Alianza Atletico
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao
Sport BoysTeam 1596
Alianza AtleticoTeam 1545Match story
Sport Boys · draw · Alianza AtleticoBefore kick-off: 41% · 30% · 29%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Percy Liza 16'
- Jorge del Castillo 59', 68'
- Guillermo Larios 90+3'
We gave Sport Boys 41% to win: Alianza Atletico won.
- Percy Liza 1553 −8*16'
Sport Boys:Percy Liza 1553 −8* - Yuriel Celi 1521 −8*28'
Sport Boys:Yuriel Celi 1521 −8* - 42'Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36*
Alianza Atletico:Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* - 42'Jose Lujan 1594 +9*
Alianza Atletico:Jose Lujan 1594 +9* - Hansell Riojas 1597 −19*45+2'
Sport Boys:Hansell Riojas 1597 −19* - Oslimg Mora 1665 −20*51'
Sport Boys:Oslimg Mora 1665 −20* - 53'Stefano Fernández 1590 +8*
Alianza Atletico:Stefano Fernández 1590 +8* - Carlos Zambrano 1610 −24*55'
Sport Boys:Carlos Zambrano 1610 −24* - 59'Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* assist Germán Díaz 1683 +23*
Alianza Atletico:Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* assist Germán Díaz 1683 +23* - Miguel Trauco 1698 −17* for Yuriel Celi 1521 −8*63'
Sport Boys:Miguel Trauco 1698 −17* for Yuriel Celi 1521 −8* - 68'Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* assist Cristian Penilla 1593 +34*
Alianza Atletico:Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* assist Cristian Penilla 1593 +34* - Carlos Alberto Desio69'
Sport Boys:Carlos Alberto Desio - Percy Liza 1553 −8*71'
Sport Boys:Percy Liza 1553 −8* - 74'Guillermo Larios 1598 +1* for Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36*
Alianza Atletico:Guillermo Larios 1598 +1* for Jorge del Castillo 1598 +36* - 74'Erick Perleche 1619 −5* for Stefano Fernández 1590 +8*
Alianza Atletico:Erick Perleche 1619 −5* for Stefano Fernández 1590 +8* - Rolando Diaz 1084 −8* for Jostin Alarcon 1653 −16*79'
Sport Boys:Rolando Diaz 1084 −8* for Jostin Alarcon 1653 −16* - 82'Juan Jesus Quinones 1532 −6* for Cristian Penilla 1593 +34*
Alianza Atletico:Juan Jesus Quinones 1532 −6* for Cristian Penilla 1593 +34* - 86'Erick Perleche 1619 −5*
Alianza Atletico:Erick Perleche 1619 −5* - 90'Jesus Mendieta 1480 −8* for Ariel Muñoz 1490 +20*
Alianza Atletico:Jesus Mendieta 1480 −8* for Ariel Muñoz 1490 +20* - 90+3'Guillermo Larios 1598 +1* assist Juan Jesus Quinones 1532 −6*
Alianza Atletico:Guillermo Larios 1598 +1* assist Juan Jesus Quinones 1532 −6*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 30% · 29%(Sport Boys · draw · Alianza Atletico)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sport Boys €313K, Alianza Atletico €340K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Boys
10th in Primera División · 38 pts from 27
- 20 SepDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1639
- 13 SepWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1613
- 5 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1632
- 30 AugWSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1623
- 23 AugWCienciano Peru Primera Division1581
Alianza Atletico
8th in Primera División · 40 pts from 27
- 18 SepWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1573
- 13 SepLAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1572
- 4 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1578
- 30 AugWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1546
- 21 AugWSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1528
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Boys | 38 /27 | 48.6 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
| Alianza Atletico | 40 /27 | 49.2 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sport Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1684

Alianza Atletico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1660
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Boys: balanced profile (how Carlos Alberto Desio plays) · Alianza Atletico: direct (how Federico Urciuoli plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.