UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Sparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrom
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Letná, Prague
Sparta PrahaTeam 1837
LillestromTeam 1578Match story
Sparta Praha · draw · LillestromBefore kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%
Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Josimar Alcocer 56'
- Thomas Lehne Olsen 90+1'
We gave Sparta Praha 66% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Martin Suchomel 1803 018'
Sparta Praha:Martin Suchomel 1803 0 - 28'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –
Lillestrom:Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim – - Ebrima Singhateh 1692 030'
Sparta Praha:Ebrima Singhateh 1692 0 - Josimar Alcocer 1937 −6 for Ebrima Singhateh 1692 045'
Sparta Praha:Josimar Alcocer 1937 −6 for Ebrima Singhateh 1692 0 - Josimar Alcocer 1937 −6 assist Jonatan Braut Brunes 1960 −1456'
Sparta Praha:Josimar Alcocer 1937 −6 assist Jonatan Braut Brunes 1960 −14 - Roman Macek 1921 −3 for Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk 1921 −361'
Sparta Praha:Roman Macek 1921 −3 for Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk 1921 −3 - John Mercado 1998 −5 for Matej Jurasek 1802 061'
Sparta Praha:John Mercado 1998 −5 for Matej Jurasek 1802 0 - Ki-Jana Hoever 1942 −1 for Martin Suchomel 1803 061'
Sparta Praha:Ki-Jana Hoever 1942 −1 for Martin Suchomel 1803 0 - 65'Eric Kitolano 1617 +1 for Daniel Bassi 1465 +11
Lillestrom:Eric Kitolano 1617 +1 for Daniel Bassi 1465 +11 - 65'Thomas Lehne Olsen 1503 +2 for Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1618 0
Lillestrom:Thomas Lehne Olsen 1503 +2 for Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1618 0 - 70'Henrik Molvaer Melland 1424 +4 for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –
Lillestrom:Henrik Molvaer Melland 1424 +4 for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim – - 73'Frederik Elkaer 1540 +2 for Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1579 +7
Lillestrom:Frederik Elkaer 1540 +2 for Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1579 +7 - 73'Gustav Nordh 1345 −4* for Felix Vá 1621 +5
Lillestrom:Gustav Nordh 1345 −4* for Felix Vá 1621 +5 - Roman Macek 1921 −377'
Sparta Praha:Roman Macek 1921 −3 - Santiago Eneme 1709 0 for Andy Irving 1787 −8*85'
Sparta Praha:Santiago Eneme 1709 0 for Andy Irving 1787 −8* - 90+1'Thomas Lehne Olsen 1503 +2 assist Gustav Nordh 1345 −4*
Lillestrom:Thomas Lehne Olsen 1503 +2 assist Gustav Nordh 1345 −4* - 90+3'Henrik Molvaer Melland 1424 +4
Lillestrom:Henrik Molvaer Melland 1424 +4
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%(Sparta Praha · draw · Lillestrom)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sparta Praha €1.3M, Lillestrom €555K.
- Sparta Praha were without 3 expected starters: L. Mbe Soh (1928), M. Ryneš (2074) and A. Karabec (2011).
- Draw chance was 18%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 25% this round.
- Czech Liga: J. Mercado was the highest-rated forward (2004).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sparta Praha
3rd in Czech Liga · 18 pts from 10
- 11 OctWPardubice Czech Liga1879
- 20 SepWSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1865
- 16 SepWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1871
- 12 SepWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1843
- 6 SepLHradec Králové Czech Liga1864
Lillestrom
6th in Eliteserien · 33 pts from 22
- 11 OctDMolde Eliteserien1576
- 20 SepLViking Eliteserien1577
- 17 SepLTorreense UEFA Europa League1618
- 12 SepWValerenga Eliteserien1595
- 5 SepWBrann Eliteserien1556
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 3 /1 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 65.5 | 23.6 |
| Lillestrom | 0 /1 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 96.6 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sparta Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1941

Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1581
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sparta Praha: possession-based (how Brian Priske Pedersen plays) · Lillestrom: balanced profile (how Hans Erik Ødegaard plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.