UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · epet ARENA, Prague
Sparta Praha host Bournemouth on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sparta Praha 19%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sparta Praha €2.2M, Bournemouth €26.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa League League Stage - 4: 359 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sparta Praha goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Sparta Praha 1918 · Bournemouth 2277
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sparta Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1913
Bournemouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2431
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sparta Praha
6th in Czech Liga · 19 pts from 11
- 22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League1822
- 18 OctDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1903
- 15 OctDLillestrom UEFA Europa League1803
- 11 OctWPardubice Czech Liga1879
- 20 SepWSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1865
Bournemouth
15th in Premier League · 6 pts from 7
- 22 OctWAC Milan UEFA Europa League2282
- 18 OctWSunderland Premier League2266
- 15 OctWSturm Graz UEFA Europa League2185
- 10 OctLChelsea Premier League2269
- 20 SepLLiverpool Premier League2299
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 4 /3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 53.2 | 45.3 |
| Bournemouth | 9 /3 | 20.0 | 97.1 | 2.9 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sparta Praha: possession-based (how B. Priske plays) · Bournemouth: balanced profile (how Marco Rose plays)