UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Slavia Praha vs Villarreal
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Fortuna Arena, Prague
Slavia Praha host Villarreal on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slavia Praha 26%, draw 28%, Villarreal 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slavia Praha €2.3M, Villarreal €12.8M.
- Draw chance 28%, above the UEFA Champions League average of 22% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slavia Praha goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–17%
- 2–27%
- 0–27%
- 2–16%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Slavia Praha 1923 · Villarreal 2173
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Slavia Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Good) · Elo 2021
Villarreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2295
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slavia Praha
1st in Czech Liga · 34 pts from 14
- 8 NovWArtis Czech Liga1944
- 4 NovLArsenal UEFA Champions League1917
- 31 OctWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1861
- 24 OctDMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1839
- 20 OctDFenerbahçe UEFA Champions League1863
Villarreal
8th in La Liga · 15 pts from 12
- 8 NovWGetafe La Liga2153
- 3 NovLParis Saint Germain UEFA Champions League2153
- 30 OctLEspanyol La Liga2179
- 24 OctWValencia La Liga2143
- 20 OctLLiverpool UEFA Champions League2201
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 1 /4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 98.9 |
| Villarreal | 3 /4 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 56.0 | 43.8 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Slavia Praha: shot-heavy · creative (how Jindřich Trpišovský plays) · Villarreal: balanced profile (how Iñigo Pérez plays)