UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Fortuna Arena, Prague
Slavia Praha host Arsenal on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slavia Praha 7%, draw 13%, Arsenal 80%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slavia Praha €2.4M, Arsenal €54.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Champions League League Stage - 4: 699 points.
- Draw chance 13%, below the UEFA Champions League average of 25% this round.
- Czech Liga: J. Markovič is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1951).
- Premier League: David Raya is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2722).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slavia Praha goals first.
- 0–310%
- 0–210%
- 1–38%
- 1–28%
- 0–48%
- 1–46%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–3expected 1.2 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–3expected 5.5 pts
Team Elo: Slavia Praha 1908 · Arsenal 2607
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Slavia Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2008
Arsenal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Good) · Elo 2671
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slavia Praha
1st in Czech Liga · 27 pts from 11
- 17 OctDHradec Králové Czech Liga1931
- 13 OctLSabah FA UEFA Champions League1960
- 9 OctWZlin Czech Liga1931
- 20 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1939
- 13 SepWTeplice Czech Liga1852
Arsenal
2nd in Premier League · 18 pts from 7
- 18 OctWNottingham Forest Premier League2625
- 13 OctWLille UEFA Champions League2596
- 10 OctWLeeds Premier League2622
- 19 SepLBrighton Premier League2624
- 15 SepWIpswich England League Cup2412
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 0 /2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 98.6 |
| Arsenal | 6 /2 | 18.7 | 90.9 | 9.1 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Slavia Praha: shot-heavy · creative (how Jindřich Trpišovský plays) · Arsenal: balanced profile (how Mikel Arteta plays)