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J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 04:00 UTC · IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse crestShimizu S-pulseTeam 1626
2–2
Full time
HT 2–0
Gamba Osaka crestGamba OsakaTeam 1667

Match story

Shimizu S-pulse · draw · Gamba Osaka

Before kick-off: 35% · 33% · 32%

Live chances: Shimizu S-pulse 0%, draw 100%, Gamba Osaka 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 33%, Gamba Osaka 32%3' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 33%, Gamba Osaka 32%4' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 33%, Gamba Osaka 32%5' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 33%, Gamba Osaka 32%6' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 33%, Gamba Osaka 32%7' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 34%, Gamba Osaka 32%8' · 0–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 34%, Gamba Osaka 31%9' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 66%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%10' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 66%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%11' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 66%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%12' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 66%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%13' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 66%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%14' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%15' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%16' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%17' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 11%18' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%19' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%20' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%21' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%22' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%23' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 67%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%24' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%25' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%26' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 10%27' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%28' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%29' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%30' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%31' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 68%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%32' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%33' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 9%34' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 9%35' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%36' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%37' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 69%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%38' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 70%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%39' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 70%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%40' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 70%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%41' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 70%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%42' · 1–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 70%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 8%43' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 93%, draw 6%, Gamba Osaka 1%44' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 93%, draw 6%, Gamba Osaka 1%45' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%45+1' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%HT · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%46' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%47' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%48' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%49' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%50' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%51' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 1%52' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%53' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%54' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%55' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%56' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%57' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%58' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 1%59' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 0%60' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%61' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%62' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%63' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%64' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%65' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%66' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%67' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%68' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%69' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%70' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%71' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%72' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%73' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%74' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%75' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%76' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%77' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%78' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%79' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%80' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%81' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%82' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%83' · 2–0 · Shimizu S-pulse 99%, draw 1%, Gamba Osaka 0%84' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 88%, draw 11%, Gamba Osaka 1%85' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 89%, draw 11%, Gamba Osaka 1%86' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 90%, draw 10%, Gamba Osaka 1%87' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 90%, draw 9%, Gamba Osaka 1%88' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 91%, draw 8%, Gamba Osaka 0%89' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 92%, draw 8%, Gamba Osaka 0%90' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 93%, draw 7%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 94%, draw 6%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 95%, draw 5%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 96%, draw 4%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 97%, draw 3%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Shimizu S-pulse 98%, draw 2%, Gamba Osaka 0%90+6' · 2–2 · Shimizu S-pulse 1%, draw 99%, Gamba Osaka 1%90+7' · 2–2 · Shimizu S-pulse 0%, draw 100%, Gamba Osaka 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Shimizu S-pulse 35% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 9'Shimizu S-pulse:Yuki Honda 1663 −9 assist Masaki Yumiba 1520 0
  2. 23'Gamba Osaka:Ryoya Yamashita 1735 0
  3. 24'Gamba Osaka:Ryo Hatsuse 1729 −1
  4. 42'Shimizu S-pulse:Kai Matsuzaki 1593 −2 assist Oh Se-hun 1716 −2
  5. 45'Gamba Osaka:Takashi Usami 1641 −4 for Yusei Toshida 1557 +1
  6. 45'Gamba Osaka:Eli Adams 1721 +1 for Rin Mito 1749 +1
  7. 47'Shimizu S-pulse:Hidehiro Sugai 1739 −2
  8. 64'Shimizu S-pulse:Tomoya Fujii 1590 −1 for Kenta Inoue 1707 −2
  9. 65'Gamba Osaka:Ryotaro Meshino 1660 0 for Welton 1725 0
  10. 75'Gamba Osaka:T. Myojin
  11. 75'Shimizu S-pulse:Yutaka Yoshida 1505 −16* for Mateus Brunetti Valor 1698 −1
  12. 75'Shimizu S-pulse:Yudai Shimamoto 1588 0 for Oh Se-hun 1716 −2
  13. 76'Gamba Osaka:Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 1556 −8* for Shota Fukuoka 1735 −1
  14. 77'Gamba Osaka:Ryo Hatsuse 1729 −1 for Shinya Nakano 1614 +2
  15. 84'Gamba Osaka:Ryotaro Meshino 1660 0
  16. 90'Shimizu S-pulse:Park Seung-Wook 1670 −9* for Kai Matsuzaki 1593 −2
  17. 90+5'Gamba Osaka:Issam Jebali 1545 −4 assist Takeru Kishimoto 1696 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GT. Umeda1720−1
DH. Sugai1739−2
DS. Hasukawa1612−9*
DY. Honda1663−9
DMateus Brunetti1698−1
MK. Koizumi1658−11*
MM. Yumiba15200
MK. Matsuzaki1593−2
FK. Inoue1707−2
FOh Se-Hun1716−2
FR. Germain1700−4
CT. Yoshida1731−1
GJ. Ichimori1710−2
DT. Kishimoto16960
DS. Nakatani1724−1
DS. Fukuoka1735−1
DS. Nakano1614+2
MS. Abe17540
MR. Mito1749+1
MR. Yamashita17350
MI. Jebali1545−4
MWelton Felipe17250
FY. Toshida1557+1
CTomokazu Myojin1565+4
Before kick-off: 35% · 33% · 32%(Shimizu S-pulse · draw · Gamba Osaka)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%); the result 2–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Shimizu S-pulse €545K, Gamba Osaka €573K.
  • All 11 of Gamba Osaka's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Shimizu S-pulse

10th in J1 League · 13 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWMito Hollyhock 1672
  • 19 SepWJEF United Chiba 1662
  • 12 SepWAvispa Fukuoka 1609
  • 6 SepLKawasaki Frontale 1610
  • 2 SepDFC Tokyo 1606

Gamba Osaka

18th in J1 League · 6 pts from 9

  • 13 OctWNewcastle Jets 1645
  • 9 OctLKashima 1685
  • 20 SepLVissel Kobe 1675
  • 15 SepWCông An Nhân Dân 1677
  • 12 SepLFC Tokyo 1663

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Shimizu S-pulse13 /949.00%1%4%11th
Gamba Osaka6 /941.50%0%26%17th
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Mateus Brunetti
Mateus Brunetti

Shimizu S-pulse · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1698

R. Yamashita
R. Yamashita

Gamba Osaka · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1735

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Takayuki Yoshida

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Tomokazu Myojin

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Shimizu S-pulse: balanced profile (how Takayuki Yoshida plays) · Gamba Osaka: balanced profile (how Tomokazu Myojin plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.