UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Stamford Bridge, London
Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 27%, draw 28%, Sporting CP 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shakhtar Donetsk €5.7M, Sporting CP €14.8M.
- Premier League: D. Riznyk is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2199).
- Primeira Liga: L. Suárez is the highest-rated forward (2402).
- Shakhtar Donetsk have won their last 5 matches.
- Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shakhtar Donetsk goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 1993 · Sporting CP 2223
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shakhtar Donetsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2134
Sporting CP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2293
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st in Premier League · 24 pts from 9
- 17 OctWKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1888
- 14 OctWAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League2058
- 9 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League2055
- 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1967
- 14 SepWChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1924
Sporting CP
3rd in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 13 OctWLens UEFA Champions League2247
- 9 OctWSC Braga Primeira Liga2196
- 19 SepDArouca Primeira Liga2274
- 13 SepDFamalicao Primeira Liga2229
- 9 SepWGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2219
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 /2 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 52.6 | 44.8 |
| Sporting CP | 6 /2 | 13.4 | 23.9 | 70.6 | 5.5 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays) · Sporting CP: possession-based · creative (how Rui Manuel Gomes Borges plays)