UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
SC Freiburg vs Twente
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
SC Freiburg host Twente on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SC Freiburg 55%, draw 25%, Twente 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SC Freiburg €13.5M, Twente €4.1M.
- Twente's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
- Twente are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SC Freiburg goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 1–08%
- 2–27%
- 3–16%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: SC Freiburg 2192 · Twente 2063
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SC Freiburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2267
Twente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2169
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SC Freiburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 19 pts from 9
- 8 NovWUnion Berlin Bundesliga2247
- 5 NovWTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League2150
- 31 OctWFC Augsburg Bundesliga2187
- 28 OctWVfL Wolfsburg Germany DFB Pokal2119
- 25 OctLBayern München Bundesliga2205
Twente
4th in Eredivisie · 24 pts from 12
- 8 NovDAjax Eredivisie2092
- 5 NovWPafos UEFA Conference League2081
- 1 NovWExcelsior Eredivisie2077
- 25 OctWAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie2031
- 22 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Conference League2026
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 6 /3 | 12.3 | 50.5 | 49.1 | 0.3 |
| Twente | 9 /3 | 14.1 | 85.8 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays) · Twente: balanced profile (how J. van den Brom plays)