UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
SC Braga vs KuPS
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SC Braga host KuPS on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SC Braga 81%, draw 13%, KuPS 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SC Braga €5.1M, KuPS €335K.
- Draw chance 13%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SC Braga goals first.
- 2–016%
- 1–014%
- 3–013%
- 2–18%
- 4–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores35%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 6.0 pts
Team Elo: SC Braga 2018 · KuPS 1535
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SC Braga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1772
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1430
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SC Braga
8th in Primeira Liga · 17 pts from 11
- 8 NovWRio Ave Primeira Liga1993
- 5 NovDAarhus UEFA Conference League2007
- 1 NovWFamalicao Primeira Liga1953
- 25 OctLNacional Primeira Liga1966
- 22 OctWGent UEFA Conference League1975
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 8 NovLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1490
- 5 NovDGent UEFA Conference League1533
- 1 NovLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1595
- 29 OctDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1590
- 25 OctDHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1612
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 4 /3 | 11.0 | 34.8 | 64.6 | 0.7 |
| KuPS | 1 /3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 95.2 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SC Braga: possession-based (how Franclim Carvalho plays) · KuPS: balanced profile (how Miika Nuutinen plays)