UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
SC Braga vs Gent
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
SC Braga host Gent on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SC Braga 45%, draw 28%, Gent 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SC Braga €5.1M, Gent €2.9M.
- Gent's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SC Braga goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: SC Braga 1997 · Gent 1993
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SC Braga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2096
Gent · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2154
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SC Braga
9th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 7
- 15 OctLFC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League1977
- 9 OctLSporting CP Primeira Liga1964
- 20 SepDSanta Clara Primeira Liga1982
- 14 SepWEstoril Primeira Liga2000
- 10 SepLEstrela Primeira Liga2040
Gent
1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8
- 15 OctWAarhus UEFA Conference League2052
- 10 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1994
- 18 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League2003
- 13 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1981
- 6 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1980
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 1 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 0 /1 | 10.1 | 26.7 | 65.5 | 7.8 |
| Gent | 3 /1 | 12.0 | 52.6 | 45.2 | 2.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SC Braga: possession-based (how Carlos Vicens plays) · Gent: balanced profile (how Rik De Mil plays)