Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Sassuolo vs Genoa
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Sassuolo host Genoa on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sassuolo 33%, draw 29%, Genoa 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sassuolo €7.8M, Genoa €6.8M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Serie A average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sassuolo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 0–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Sassuolo 1991 · Genoa 2038
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sassuolo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1908
Genoa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2146
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sassuolo
17th in Serie A · 8 pts from 11
- 7 NovLAS Roma Serie A2040
- 2 NovLFiorentina Serie A1975
- 27 OctLLazio Serie A2013
- 24 OctLComo Serie A1938
- 16 OctLFrosinone Serie A2050
Genoa
13th in Serie A · 13 pts from 11
- 8 NovLAC Milan Serie A2032
- 1 NovWLecce Serie A2019
- 28 OctWJuventus Serie A2053
- 25 OctWVenezia Serie A1964
- 17 OctLAS Roma Serie A1924
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 8 /11 | 38.7 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 15th |
| Genoa | 13 /11 | 45.5 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sassuolo: balanced profile (how Alberto Aquilani plays) · Genoa: direct (how D. De Rossi plays)