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Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo crestSassuoloTeam 2020
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
AC Milan crestAC MilanTeam 2231

Match story

Sassuolo · draw · AC Milan

Before kick-off: 23% · 25% · 52%

Live chances: Sassuolo 3%, draw 93%, AC Milan 4% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 25%, AC Milan 52%2' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 25%, AC Milan 52%3' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 52%4' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 52%5' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 52%6' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 51%7' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 51%8' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 51%9' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 26%, AC Milan 51%10' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 27%, AC Milan 51%11' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 27%, AC Milan 50%12' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 27%, AC Milan 50%13' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 27%, AC Milan 50%14' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 27%, AC Milan 50%15' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 50%16' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 49%17' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 49%18' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 49%19' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 49%20' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 28%, AC Milan 49%21' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 29%, AC Milan 48%22' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 29%, AC Milan 48%23' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 29%, AC Milan 48%24' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 29%, AC Milan 48%25' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 30%, AC Milan 48%26' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 30%, AC Milan 47%27' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 30%, AC Milan 47%28' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 30%, AC Milan 47%29' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 30%, AC Milan 47%30' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 31%, AC Milan 46%31' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 31%, AC Milan 46%32' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 31%, AC Milan 46%33' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 32%, AC Milan 46%34' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 32%, AC Milan 45%35' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 32%, AC Milan 45%36' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 32%, AC Milan 45%37' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 33%, AC Milan 45%38' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 33%, AC Milan 44%39' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 33%, AC Milan 44%40' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 34%, AC Milan 44%41' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 23%, draw 34%, AC Milan 43%42' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 34%, AC Milan 43%43' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 35%, AC Milan 43%44' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 35%, AC Milan 43%45' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 35%, AC Milan 42%45+1' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 36%, AC Milan 42%45+2' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 36%, AC Milan 42%45+3' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%45+4' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%45+5' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%45+6' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%45+7' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%HT · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%46' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%47' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 37%, AC Milan 41%48' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 38%, AC Milan 40%49' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 38%, AC Milan 40%50' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 39%, AC Milan 40%51' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 22%, draw 39%, AC Milan 39%52' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 40%, AC Milan 39%53' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 40%, AC Milan 38%54' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 41%, AC Milan 38%55' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 42%, AC Milan 37%56' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 42%, AC Milan 37%57' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 43%, AC Milan 36%58' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 21%, draw 44%, AC Milan 36%59' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 20%, draw 44%, AC Milan 35%60' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 20%, draw 45%, AC Milan 35%61' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 20%, draw 46%, AC Milan 34%62' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 20%, draw 47%, AC Milan 34%63' · 0–0 · Sassuolo 20%, draw 47%, AC Milan 33%64' · 0–1 · Sassuolo 4%, draw 18%, AC Milan 77%66' · 0–1 · Sassuolo 4%, draw 18%, AC Milan 78%67' · 0–1 · Sassuolo 4%, draw 18%, AC Milan 78%68' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 18%, draw 51%, AC Milan 30%69' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 18%, draw 52%, AC Milan 30%70' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 18%, draw 53%, AC Milan 29%71' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 17%, draw 54%, AC Milan 28%72' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 17%, draw 55%, AC Milan 28%73' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 17%, draw 56%, AC Milan 27%74' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 16%, draw 57%, AC Milan 26%75' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 16%, draw 59%, AC Milan 25%76' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 16%, draw 60%, AC Milan 25%77' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 15%, draw 61%, AC Milan 24%78' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 15%, draw 62%, AC Milan 23%79' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 14%, draw 64%, AC Milan 22%80' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 14%, draw 65%, AC Milan 21%81' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 13%, draw 66%, AC Milan 20%82' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 13%, draw 68%, AC Milan 19%83' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 12%, draw 69%, AC Milan 19%84' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 12%, draw 71%, AC Milan 18%85' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 11%, draw 73%, AC Milan 16%86' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 10%, draw 74%, AC Milan 15%87' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 10%, draw 76%, AC Milan 14%88' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 9%, draw 78%, AC Milan 13%89' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 8%, draw 80%, AC Milan 12%90' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 7%, draw 82%, AC Milan 11%90+1' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 6%, draw 85%, AC Milan 9%90+2' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 5%, draw 87%, AC Milan 8%90+3' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 4%, draw 90%, AC Milan 6%90+4' · 1–1 · Sassuolo 3%, draw 93%, AC Milan 4%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 93% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave AC Milan 52% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 20'AC Milan:Koni De Winter 2255 −8* for Matteo Gabbia 2316 −8*
  2. 26'Sassuolo:Cas Odenthal 1856 +9* for Fedde Leysen 2197 −7*
  3. 41'AC Milan:Pervis Estupinan 2250 −9*
  4. 45'AC Milan:Luka Modrić 1919 −18 for Pervis Estupinan 2250 −9*
  5. 45+3'AC Milan:Koni De Winter 2255 −8*
  6. 60'Sassuolo:Kieron Bowie 1969 +6 for Sebastiano Esposito 2130 +7
  7. 60'Sassuolo:Kristian Thorstvedt 2149 −7* for Vasilije Adzic 1684 +8
  8. 63'AC Milan:Adrien Rabiot 2295 −5 assist Luka Modrić 1919 −18
  9. 68'Sassuolo:Cas Odenthal 1856 +9*
  10. 78'AC Milan:Ardon Jashari 2284 0 for Yunus Musah 2216 −8*
  11. 78'AC Milan:Alphadjo Cissè 1688 −8* for Christian Pulisic 2258 −9*
  12. 79'Sassuolo:Simone Cinquegrano 2068 −7* for Ignace Van der Brempt 2099 +3*
  13. 79'Sassuolo:Luca Lipani 1869 −7* for Nemanja Matić 1979 −14*
  14. 85'AC Milan:Omari Hutchinson 2256 −8* for Samuel Chukwueze 2256 −8*
  15. 87'AC Milan:Gonçalo Ramos 2466 −3
  16. 90+1'AC Milan:Strahinja Pavlovic 2292 −1
  17. 90+4'Sassuolo:Kristian Thorstvedt 2149 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-4-1-1
GM. Maignan2455−4
DMario Gila2271−9*
DM. Gabbia2316−8*
DS. Pavlović2292−1
DP. Estupiñán2250−9*
MS. Chukwueze2256−8*
MY. Musah2216−8*
MA. Rabiot2295−5
MDiego Moreira22420
MC. Pulišić2258−9*
FGonçalo Ramos2466−3
CRuben Amorim2303−9*
Before kick-off: 23% · 25% · 52%(Sassuolo · draw · AC Milan)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sassuolo €7.8M, AC Milan €26.7M.
  • Sassuolo were without 2 expected starters: J. Idzes (2151) and C. Volpato (1916).
  • Serie A: M. Maignan was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2458).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sassuolo

10th in Serie A · 7 pts from 5

  • 18 SepLMonza 2089
  • 13 SepWJuventus 2052
  • 6 SepDBologna 1961
  • 2 SepDFrosinone 1945
  • 29 AugWTorino 1929

AC Milan

5th in Serie A · 11 pts from 5

  • 20 SepWLecce 2243
  • 16 SepLBenfica 2194
  • 12 SepDLazio 2199
  • 6 SepDJuventus 2255
  • 28 AugWVenezia 2181

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sassuolo7 /547.10%<1%4%11th
AC Milan11 /567.23%47%0%4th
Sassuolo
AC Milan

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Matić
N. Matić

Sassuolo · +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1993

A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot

AC Milan · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2300

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alberto Aquilani

Coach DNA: possession-based

Ruben Filipe Marques Diogo Amorim

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sassuolo: balanced profile (how Alberto Aquilani plays) · AC Milan: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Ruben Filipe Marques Diogo Amorim plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.