J1 League · Regular Season - 15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Yokohama F. Marinos on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%, draw 27%, Yokohama F. Marinos 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sanfrecce Hiroshima €1.2M, Yokohama F. Marinos €642K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (J1 League): Sanfrecce Hiroshima rank #4 of 22, Yokohama F. Marinos #22.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 over 180 days.
- Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1858 · Yokohama F. Marinos 1739
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1892
Yokohama F. Marinos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1888
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3rd in J1 League · 30 pts from 14
- 8 NovDMachida Zelvia J1 League1868
- 31 OctWMito Hollyhock J1 League1829
- 24 OctWShimizu S-pulse J1 League1825
- 21 OctLV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1878
- 17 OctWKyoto Sanga J1 League1839
Yokohama F. Marinos
7th in J1 League · 22 pts from 14
- 7 NovDFagiano Okayama J1 League1730
- 1 NovWKawasaki Frontale J1 League1688
- 25 OctDNagoya Grampus J1 League1663
- 21 OctDTokyo Verdy J1 League1691
- 17 OctDJEF United Chiba J1 League1698
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 /14 | 70.2 | 13% | 68% | 0% | 3rd |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 22 /14 | 56.3 | 0% | 4% | <1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: creative · shot-heavy (how Bartosch Gaul plays) · Yokohama F. Marinos: balanced profile (how S. Corica plays)