UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Sabah FA vs Barcelona
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku
Sabah FA host Barcelona on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sabah FA 4%, draw 8%, Barcelona 88%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sabah FA €736K, Barcelona €48.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Champions League League Stage - 5: 868 points.
- Draw chance 8%, below the UEFA Champions League average of 22% this round.
- La Liga: Joan García is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2704).
- Barcelona's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sabah FA goals first.
- 0–312%
- 0–410%
- 0–210%
- 1–37%
- 0–57%
- 1–47%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–3expected 1.3 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–3expected 6.0 pts
Team Elo: Sabah FA 1760 · Barcelona 2628
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1830
Barcelona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +9.9 (Elite) · Elo 2759
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sabah FA
3rd in Premyer Liqa · 21 pts from 10
- 4 NovLViking UEFA Champions League1733
- 25 OctDQarabag Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1795
- 20 OctLBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League1797
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1768
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1761
Barcelona
1st in La Liga · 33 pts from 12
- 8 NovWAtletico Madrid La Liga2605
- 3 NovWAston Villa UEFA Champions League2636
- 31 OctWAlaves La Liga2620
- 25 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2653
- 20 OctLParis Saint Germain UEFA Champions League2618
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 3 /4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 99.1 |
| Barcelona | 9 /4 | 17.7 | 86.5 | 13.5 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy