UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes
Rennes host Olympiakos Piraeus on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rennes 46%, draw 28%, Olympiakos Piraeus 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rennes €7.9M, Olympiakos Piraeus €5.4M.
- Super League 1: S. Ortega is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2279).
- Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rennes goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Rennes 2133 · Olympiakos Piraeus 2107
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 2225
Olympiakos Piraeus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2264
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rennes
6th in Ligue 1 · 13 pts from 7
- 22 OctDJuventus UEFA Europa League2129
- 18 OctLParis FC Ligue 12141
- 15 OctWOFI UEFA Europa League2171
- 11 OctWAuxerre Ligue 12125
- 19 SepLLyon Ligue 12113
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd in Super League 1 · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctWSparta Praha UEFA Europa League2143
- 18 OctWPanetolikos Greece Super League2083
- 15 OctWMarseille UEFA Europa League2104
- 11 OctWPanathinaikos Greece Super League2087
- 20 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League2060
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 5 /3 | 14.1 | 32.5 | 64.8 | 2.7 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 9 /3 | 17.2 | 71.1 | 28.9 | 0.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays) · Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil plays)