UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Real Betis vs Feyenoord
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville
Real Betis host Feyenoord on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Betis 58%, draw 24%, Feyenoord 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Betis €14.2M, Feyenoord €5.2M.
- Real Betis are without 1 expected starter: C. Hernández (2288).
- All 11 of Real Betis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Feyenoord have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Betis goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Real Betis 2270 · Feyenoord 2102
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: T. Parrott for C. Hernández.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Betis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2335
Feyenoord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2186
Absences
Real Betis
Ruled out
- C. HernándezCalf Injury2288
- Junior FirpoGroin Injury2155
- Iker LosadaInactive1938
Doubtful
- Aitor RuibalKnee Injury2156
Feyenoord
Doubtful
- G. SmalAnkle Injury2129
- J. ModerKnee Injury2128
- B. NieuwkoopKnee Injury2105
- R. NelsonMuscle Injury2058
- S. van PersieKnock1828
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Betis
4th in La Liga · 19 pts from 9
- 17 OctLBarcelona La Liga2262
- 14 OctWFC Porto UEFA Champions League2250
- 11 OctWOsasuna La Liga2276
- 20 SepDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2287
- 17 SepWGetafe La Liga2213
Feyenoord
1st in Eredivisie · 23 pts from 9
- 17 OctWTelstar Eredivisie2075
- 14 OctWComo UEFA Champions League2114
- 10 OctWAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie2098
- 20 SepWUtrecht Eredivisie2090
- 13 SepWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie2068
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 6 /2 | 14.5 | 36.9 | 60.3 | 2.8 |
| Feyenoord | 3 /2 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 50.1 | 46.8 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Betis: balanced profile (how Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti plays) · Feyenoord: dribble-heavy · creative (how Giovanni Christiaan van Bronckhorst plays)